2012-01-31

未落實監票如何贏?

進黨過完年總算開工了,但今天卻開記者會對外表示:除極少數偏遠處所外,民進黨在全國14,806個投開票所建置14,523人,建置達成率達98.09%,為歷次總統選舉最高,並未如外傳的監票人員嚴重不足的情況。可是在前一天的《大話新聞》節目裡,林佳龍就說有1/3沒派人監票(見影片4:00開始),這個數目也與日前替該黨監票的王老師說法一致。到底是怎麼一回事?派人監票,每人也可領公家1,600元,沒有派滿人,確實應該檢討。但若該黨不在乎,給他人有可趁之機作票(見例一例二),旁觀者也無法置喙。


更糟糕的是,林佳龍1/30說,鄉鎮市黨部過去有運作上的問題,當初民進黨決議廢除鄉鎮市黨部時,有要配合立委選區成立區黨部,但除了少數選區,並未全面地做。2008年為了解決以前累積的1億4千多萬欠債之問題,該黨全代會即通過決議從2010年6月起裁撤三級黨部,若該區沒立委成立區黨部,又沒有其他組織,等於是無人可以鞏固基層,這樣如何打贏選戰?

林佳龍勝選的經驗確實值得參考:林佳龍強調,民進黨有無組織,看一個指標就夠了,能不能找到每個投開票所都有人催票、監票,基層組織無法落實到投開票所,就等於沒組織,像他參選台中第六選區七十二里有一百八十二個投票所,每個投票所附近都有他的人在監票、催票與報票,未來黨中央應協助候選人建置投票所的監票與固票。

全國有14,806的投開票所,蔡英文雖落後馬英九797,561票,等於平均每個投票所只差54票,每個投開票所只要其中超過27票的認定有問題,就可能足以翻盤。我認為:總統及有些地區立委以些微的票數之差落選,很可能就是未落實監票所致。



2012-01-30

歐巴馬2012年國情咨文

巴馬2012年的「國情咨文(State of the Union Address)」備受讚賞,也引來許多批評。這裡收集其演講原文,是取自《紐約時報》的整理,附有該報記者的註解;若各位想聽各段的原音,可至該報的網頁。另外,中文部分是Mr.X艾克斯翻譯的,轉載來自這個網頁;對只想閱讀母語的讀者來說,應該可以參考,但由於有些句子與原文的語意有點差異,有看到的就順手潤飾一點,沒看到的就請自行對照原文。

Opening Remarks

Mr. Speaker, Mr. Vice President, members of Congress, distinguished guests, and fellow Americans:

總統: 眾議院議長先生、副總統先生、各位國會議員、貴賓們和美國同胞們:

Last month, I went to Andrews Air Force Base and welcomed home some of our last troops to serve in Iraq. Together, we offered a final, proud salute to the colors under which more than a million of our fellow citizens fought -- and several thousand gave their lives.

上個月,我前往安德魯斯空軍基地(Andrews Air Force Base),歡迎在伊拉克服役的最後一批軍人回國。我們一起最後驕傲地向國旗敬禮。一百多萬美國同胞曾為之作戰,其中數千人獻出了自己的生命。

We gather tonight knowing that this generation of heroes has made the United States safer and more respected around the world. (Applause.)

我們今晚聚集在此,深知這一代的英雄使得美國更安全,在全世界更受尊敬。(掌聲)

For the first time in nine years, there are no Americans fighting in Iraq. (Applause.)

現在不再有美國人在伊拉克作戰,這是9年來的第一次。(掌聲)

Fact Check: Bin Laden Not a Threat

President Obama can claim a record of aggressive pursuit of Al Qaeda and its affiliates abroad over the past year, including the killing of Osama bin Laden, Al Qaeda's founder, in May; Anwar al-Awlaki, the American-born propagandist and plotter for the terrorist network's branch in Yemen, in September; and scores of suspected militants in Pakistan.

Before the mission to kill Bin Laden, Mr. Obama made a high-risk decision to send a Navy Seal team deep into Pakistani territory without alerting Pakistani officials, a bold move that later drew praise even from some Republicans.

Mr. Obama has also expanded the use of drone strikes beyond Pakistan to Yemen and Somalia and made them a routine tool of counterterrorism. The relentless strikes in Pakistan's tribal area have, by most accounts, hugely weakened Al Qaeda, but have also fueled public anger against the United States in Pakistan and provoked critics who question whether government officials should be able to kill purported enemies, including American citizens, without trial or judicial review.

— Ashley Parker, reporter

For the first time in two decades, Osama bin Laden is not a threat to this country. (Applause.)

奧薩瑪∙賓拉登(Osama bin Laden)不再對美國構成威脅,這是20年來的第一次。(掌聲)

Fact Check: The Taliban’s Momentum Has Been Broken

Although the Taliban have been pushed back from their strongholds in southern Afghanistan and Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta said this month that the level of violence in the country is down for the first time in five years, American intelligence agencies have a bleaker view than the more positive statements from the Pentagon. In a classified assessment delivered to the White House last month, the Central Intelligence Agency and 15 other American intelligence agencies concluded that the war was at a stalemate and that military progress had been undermined by Afghan corruption, a weak central government and fighters infiltrating across the border from Pakistan.

— Elisabeth Bumiller, reporter

Most of al Qaeda’s top lieutenants have been defeated. The Taliban’s momentum has been broken, and some troops in Afghanistan have begun to come home.

“基地”的大多數頭目都已潰散。塔利班的氣焰已經破滅。駐阿富汗的一些部隊已經開始撤回國內。

These achievements are a testament to the courage, selflessness and teamwork of America’s Armed Forces. At a time when too many of our institutions have let us down, they exceed all expectations. They’re not consumed with personal ambition. They don’t obsess over their differences. They focus on the mission at hand. They work together.

這些成就見證了美國軍隊的英勇無畏、無私和團隊精神。在我們的許多機構都令人失望之時,他們的作為超出了所有人的期望。他們不沉溺於個人的欲望。他們不計較相互間的分歧。他們全神貫注於肩負的使命。他們為此同心協力。

Imagine what we could accomplish if we followed their example. (Applause.)

可以想像,如果我們以他們為榜樣,我們能完成什麼樣的業績。(掌聲)

"The America Within Our Reach"

Think about the America within our reach: A country that leads the world in educating its people. An America that attracts a new generation of high-tech manufacturing and high-paying jobs. A future where we’re in control of our own energy, and our security and prosperity aren’t so tied to unstable parts of the world. An economy built to last, where hard work pays off, and responsibility is rewarded.

想一想我們完全力所能及可以為美國實現的目標:人民接受的教育領先全世界;吸引新一代高科技製造業和高薪工作;實現我們的未來,由我們自己掌握能源,我們的安全和繁榮不再依賴世界上某些不穩定地區;經濟長盛不衰,辛勤工作總有回報,盡職盡責受到獎勵。

We can do this. I know we can, because we’ve done it before. At the end of World War II, when another generation of heroes returned home from combat, they built the strongest economy and middle class the world has ever known. (Applause.)

我們可以做到這一點。我知道我們可以,因為我們曾這樣做過。二戰結束時,上一代英雄離開戰場返回家園,建成全世界迄今為止最強大的經濟和中產階級。(掌聲)

Economic Challenge and Recovery

My grandfather, a veteran of Patton’s Army, got the chance to go to college on the GI Bill. My grandmother, who worked on a bomber assembly line, was part of a workforce that turned out the best products on Earth. The two of them shared the optimism of a nation that had triumphed over a depression and fascism.

我祖父,巴頓(Patton)麾下的老兵,有機會借助《退伍軍人法》(GI Bill)上大學。我祖母,在一個轟炸機裝配線上工作,作為勞動大軍的一員生產全世界第一流產品。他們兩個人都發揚了戰勝大蕭條和法西斯主義的國家擁有的樂觀向上的精神。

They understood they were part of something larger; that they were contributing to a story of success that every American had a chance to share -- the basic American promise that if you worked hard, you could do well enough to raise a family, own a home, send your kids to college, and put a little away for retirement.

他們瞭解,自己是一個偉大事業的組成部分;他們為每一個美國人都有機會踏上的成功之路做出貢獻——在美國可以實現最普遍的希望:你如果辛勤工作,就足以養活家庭,擁有住房,送孩子上大學,還可以為退休存點錢。

The defining issue of our time is how to keep that promise alive. No challenge is more urgent. No debate is more important. We can either settle for a country where a shrinking number of people do really well while a growing number of Americans barely get by, or we can restore an economy where everyone gets a fair shot, and everyone does their fair share, and everyone plays by the same set of rules. (Applause.)

我們這個時代的關鍵問題是如何讓這樣的希望生生不息。沒有任何挑戰比這更為迫切。沒有任何爭論比這更重要。我們可以滿足於這樣一個國家,其中越來越少的人富甲一方而越來越多的美國人卻勉強度日,或者我們可以重建我國經濟,讓人人都得到公平的機會,人人都盡自己的一份力量,人人都遵守同樣的規則。(掌聲)

What’s at stake aren’t Democratic values or Republican values, but American values. And we have to reclaim them. Let’s remember how we got here. Long before the recession, jobs and manufacturing began leaving our shores. Technology made businesses more efficient, but also made some jobs obsolete. Folks at the top saw their incomes rise like never before, but most hardworking Americans struggled with costs that were growing, paychecks that weren’t, and personal debt that kept piling up.

利害攸關的問題不是民主黨的價值觀或共和黨的價值觀,而是美國的價值觀。我們必須重新樹立這些價值觀。讓我們謹記我們是如何走到這一步的。在經濟衰退爆發前,就業崗位和製造業早已開始離開我們的海岸。技術使各行各業更有效率,但一些工作崗位也因此陳舊過時。位於最高層的同胞們看到他們的收入前所未有地增長,但大多數勤奮工作的美國人開支上升,工資水準停滯,債務不斷增加,為此生活十分艱難。

In 2008, the house of cards collapsed. We learned that mortgages had been sold to people who couldn’t afford or understand them. Banks had made huge bets and bonuses with other people’s money. Regulators had looked the other way, or didn’t have the authority to stop the bad behavior.

2008年,紙牌搭建的房子坍塌了。我們知道,抵押貸款批給了沒有能力支付或對此一知半解的人。銀行拿著別人的錢投下巨大的賭注,得到了豐厚的報酬。監管人員視若無睹,或沒有權力阻止不良行為。

It was wrong. It was irresponsible. And it plunged our economy into a crisis that put millions out of work, saddled us with more debt, and left innocent, hardworking Americans holding the bag. In the six months before I took office, we lost nearly 4 million jobs. And we lost another 4 million before our policies were in full effect. Those are the facts. But so are these: In the last 22 months, businesses have created more than 3 million jobs. (Applause.)

這是不對的。這是不負責任的。這使我們的經濟陷入危機,數百萬人失業,我們背上了更多的債務,讓無辜、勤勞的美國人代人受過。在我上任前的6個月中,我們失去了近400萬個就業崗位。在我們的政策全面落實之前,我們又失去400萬個就業崗位。這些都是事實。但是,以下這些也是事實:在過去22個月內,各行各業創造了300多萬個就業崗位。(掌聲)

Last year, they created the most jobs since 2005. American manufacturers are hiring again, creating jobs for the first time since the late 1990s. Together, we’ve agreed to cut the deficit by more than $2 trillion. And we’ve put in place new rules to hold Wall Street accountable, so a crisis like this never happens again. (Applause.)

去年,這些行業創造了2005年以來的大多數就業崗位。美國製造商重新開始雇人,自1990年代末期以來首次創造了工作機會。我們共同努力,已同意將赤字至少降低兩萬億美元,並且制定了讓華爾街承擔責任的新規則,防止類似的危機再度發生。(掌聲)

The state of our Union is getting stronger. And we’ve come too far to turn back now. As long as I’m President, I will work with anyone in this chamber to build on this momentum. But I intend to fight obstruction with action, and I will oppose any effort to return to the very same policies that brought on this economic crisis in the first place. (Applause.)


我們合眾國的國情日益強盛。我們已取得長足的進展,絕不能走回頭路。只要我還擔任總統之職,就將與在座的每一位一起再接再厲。但是,我將採取行動打破障礙,並將反對恢復原有政策的任何要求,因為當初正是這些政策引發了這場經濟危機。(掌聲)

No, we will not go back to an economy weakened by outsourcing, bad debt, and phony financial profits. Tonight, I want to speak about how we move forward, and lay out a blueprint for an economy that’s built to last -– an economy built on American manufacturing, American energy, skills for American workers, and a renewal of American values.

不,我們不能重蹈複撤,聽任外包、壞賬和虛假的金融利潤削弱我國經濟。今晚,我希望談一談今後如何取得進展,並為建設長盛不衰的經濟制定藍圖——以美國製造業、美國能源、美國勞工的技能以及繼續發揚美國價值觀為出發點的經濟。

American Manufacturing

Now, this blueprint begins with American manufacturing.

現在,這份藍圖以美國製造業為開端。

Fact Check: G.M., the World’s Largest Automaker

On Jan. 19, The Times reported that after three years of settling for second place, General Motors reclaimed its title as the world's largest automaker in 2011, a year when its sales grew in every region of the globe while Toyota's sales were hampered by major natural disasters.

The industry's sales crown means little beyond bragging rights. But G.M.'s ability to climb back on top, only two years removed from its government rescue and bankruptcy, is certain to bolster morale within the company and strengthen the Obama administration's argument that its bailout of the industry was worthwhile. G.M. was the world's largest automaker for more than 70 years before Toyota surpassed it in 2008.

— Nick Bunkley, reporter

On the day I took office, our auto industry was on the verge of collapse. Some even said we should let it die. With a million jobs at stake, I refused to let that happen. In exchange for help, we demanded responsibility. We got workers and automakers to settle their differences. We got the industry to retool and restructure. Today, General Motors is back on top as the world’s number-one automaker. (Applause.)

在我就職之日,我國的汽車產業正瀕臨崩潰。有些人甚至說我們應該任其消亡。但這事關上百萬個就業崗位,我拒絕讓這種情況發生。作為提供幫助的交換條件,我們要求他們負起責任。我們讓工人和汽車製造商解決他們的分歧。我們讓汽車產業更新設備,重新改組。今天,通用汽車(General Motors)重新坐上世界頭號汽車製造商的寶座。(掌聲)

Chrysler has grown faster in the U.S. than any major car company. Ford is investing billions in U.S. plants and factories. And together, the entire industry added nearly 160,000 jobs.

克萊斯勒(Chrysler)在美國的增長速度比其他任何大型汽車公司都快。福特(Ford)正在美國的車間和廠房挹注數十億美元的資金。整個汽車產業總計增加了將近16萬個就業崗位。

We bet on American workers. We bet on American ingenuity. And tonight, the American auto industry is back. (Applause.)

我們堅信美國的勞動者。我們堅信美國的創新能力。今晚,美國汽車產業已經東山再起。(掌聲。)

What’s happening in Detroit can happen in other industries. It can happen in Cleveland and Pittsburgh and Raleigh. We can’t bring every job back that’s left our shore. But right now, it’s getting more expensive to do business in places like China. Meanwhile, America is more productive. A few weeks ago, the CEO of Master Lock told me that it now makes business sense for him to bring jobs back home. (Applause.)

在底特律(Detroit)發生的事情也可以在其他行業發生。它可以在克裏夫蘭(Cleveland)、匹茲堡(Pittsburgh)和羅利(Raleigh)發生。我們不可能把所有流失到海外的工作都找回來,但是現在,在諸如中國等地從事經營的成本越來越高。與此同時,美國的生產效率也越來越高。幾周前,瑪斯特鎖(Master Lock)公司的首席執行長告訴我,在他看來,把就業崗位帶回美國現在是明智的經營之道。(掌聲)

Today, for the first time in 15 years, Master Lock’s unionized plant in Milwaukee is running at full capacity. (Applause.)

今天,瑪斯特鎖公司坐落在密爾沃基(Milwaukee)實行工會制的工廠已全面投產,這是15年來的第一次。(掌聲)

So we have a huge opportunity, at this moment, to bring manufacturing back. But we have to seize it. Tonight, my message to business leaders is simple: Ask yourselves what you can do to bring jobs back to your country, and your country will do everything we can to help you succeed. (Applause.)

因此,我們面前有一個把製造業遷回來的大好機會,可是我們必須抓住機會。今晚,我對企業領導人要說的話很簡單:問一問你們自己怎樣才能把工作機會帶回美國,你們的國家就會盡一切努力助你們成功。(掌聲)

Corporate Tax Reform

We should start with our tax code. Right now, companies get tax breaks for moving jobs and profits overseas. Meanwhile, companies that choose to stay in America get hit with one of the highest tax rates in the world. It makes no sense, and everyone knows it. So let’s change it.

我們應該從我國的稅法入手。目前,公司把工作和利潤移到海外會獲得稅收優惠。與此同時,選擇留在美國的公司卻要承受在全球最高之列的稅率。這樣做沒有道理,人人都知道這一點。因此我們必須著手改革。

First, if you’re a business that wants to outsource jobs, you shouldn’t get a tax deduction for doing it. (Applause.)

首先,如果你是想要外包的企業,你就不應當因此獲得減稅。(掌聲)

That money should be used to cover moving expenses for companies like Master Lock that decide to bring jobs home. (Applause.)

這筆錢應當用來貼補像瑪斯特鎖等決定把工作遷回美國的公司的搬遷費用。(掌聲)

Second, no American company should be able to avoid paying its fair share of taxes by moving jobs and profits overseas. (Applause.)

其次,任何美國公司都不能通過把工作和利潤移到海外而逃避公平納稅。(掌聲)

From now on, every multinational company should have to pay a basic minimum tax. And every penny should go towards lowering taxes for companies that choose to stay here and hire here in America. (Applause.)

從現在起,每個跨國公司都應當支付基本的最低稅金。每一分錢都應當用來為選擇留在美國並雇用美國人力的公司減稅。(掌聲)

Third, if you’re an American manufacturer, you should get a bigger tax cut. If you’re a high-tech manufacturer, we should double the tax deduction you get for making your products here. And if you want to relocate in a community that was hit hard when a factory left town, you should get help financing a new plant, equipment, or training for new workers. (Applause.)

第三,如果你是美國製造商,你就應當獲得幅度更大的減稅。如果你是高科技製造商,我們應當為你在美國本地製造產品而加倍減稅。如果你想遷入一個因為工廠遷出而受到重創的社區,你在為新工廠、設備或者新員工培訓融資時應當得到幫助。(掌聲)

So my message is simple. It is time to stop rewarding businesses that ship jobs overseas, and start rewarding companies that create jobs right here in America. Send me these tax reforms, and I will sign them right away. (Applause.)

所以我要說的很簡單。現在應當停止獎勵將工作遷到海外的企業,而應當開始獎勵在美國國內創造就業崗位的企業。把這些稅法改革方案交給我,我會立刻簽署。(掌聲)

Fairness in Foreign Trade

Fact Check: Doubling American Exports

The Obama administration is indeed on track to meet its goal of doubling exports by 2015. Exports have reached about $180 billion a month, according to Commerce Department data, up from $140 billion a month two years ago. They are currently growing at an annual pace of about 16 percent — a percentage point higher than necessary to double exports to $3.1 trillion. And growing exports have accounted for about half the nation's economic growth since the recession ended.

— Annie Lowrey, reporter

We’re also making it easier for American businesses to sell products all over the world. Two years ago, I set a goal of doubling U.S. exports over five years. With the bipartisan trade agreements we signed into law, we’re on track to meet that goal ahead of schedule. (Applause.)

我們還使美國工商企業更容易在全世界各地銷售產品。兩年前,我提出美國出口在5年內翻一番的目標。隨著兩黨一致的各項貿易協定經我們簽署成為法律,我們正朝著這個目標穩步邁進——並可超前實現。(掌聲)

And soon, there will be millions of new customers for American goods in Panama, Colombia, and South Korea. Soon, there will be new cars on the streets of Seoul imported from Detroit, and Toledo, and Chicago. (Applause.)

不久以後,美國產品將在巴拿馬(Panama)、哥倫比亞(Colombia)和韓國(South Korea)獲得數以百萬計的新顧客。不久以後,來自底特律、托利多(Toledo)和芝加哥(Chicago)的新進口汽車將在首爾(Seoul)街頭出現。(掌聲)

I will go anywhere in the world to open new markets for American products. And I will not stand by when our competitors don’t play by the rules. We’ve brought trade cases against China at nearly twice the rate as the last administration –- and it’s made a difference. (Applause.)

我將前往全世界任何地方為美國產品打開新市場。當我們的競爭對手不按規則行事的時候,我不會坐視不顧。我們對中國提起貿易訴訟的案例數量是上一屆政府的近兩倍,而且已經看到成效。(掌聲)

Over a thousand Americans are working today because we stopped a surge in Chinese tires. But we need to do more. It’s not right when another country lets our movies, music, and software be pirated. It’s not fair when foreign manufacturers have a leg up on ours only because they’re heavily subsidized.
Tonight, I’m announcing the creation of a Trade Enforcement Unit that will be charged with investigating unfair trading practices in countries like China. (Applause.)

由於我們制止了中國輪胎的傾銷,一千多名美國人在今天得以有工作。可是我們需要再接再厲。當另一個國家聽任我們的影片、音樂和軟體被盜版,這是不對的。當外國製造商只因受到大量補貼而取得高於我們的優勢,這是不公平的。今晚,我宣佈創建一個“貿易執法單位”(Trade Enforcement Unit),負責調查中國等國的不公平貿易作法。(掌聲)

There will be more inspections to prevent counterfeit or unsafe goods from crossing our borders. And this Congress should make sure that no foreign company has an advantage over American manufacturing when it comes to accessing financing or new markets like Russia. Our workers are the most productive on Earth, and if the playing field is level, I promise you -– America will always win. (Applause.)

我們將加強檢驗,防止假冒或者不安全的商品跨越邊境進入我國。本屆國會應做到勿使外國公司在取得融資或者進入俄羅斯等新市場方面取得高於美國製造商的優勢。我們的工人是全世界生產效率最高的,如果有一個公平的競爭環境,我敢保證,美國將永遠立於不敗之地。(掌聲)

Training Skilled Workers

I also hear from many business leaders who want to hire in the United States but can’t find workers with the right skills. Growing industries in science and technology have twice as many openings as we have workers who can do the job. Think about that –- openings at a time when millions of Americans are looking for work. It’s inexcusable. And we know how to fix it.

我也聽到許多企業領導人說,他們想要在美國雇用人手,但卻找不到擁有他們所需技能的人員。不斷發展的科學和技術產業需要招聘的人員數量是能夠勝任這類工作的人員的兩倍。思考一下這個現象——這些在數百萬美國人找工作的時候依然空缺的崗位。沒有任何藉口可言。而我們也知道如何補救。

Jackie Bray is a single mom from North Carolina who was laid off from her job as a mechanic. Then Siemens opened a gas turbine factory in Charlotte, and formed a partnership with Central Piedmont Community College. The company helped the college design courses in laser and robotics training. It paid Jackie’s tuition, then hired her to help operate their plant.

傑基•佈雷(Jackie Bray)是北卡羅萊納(North Carolina)的一位單身母親,當過機械師,但被裁員。當時西門子公司(Siemens)在夏洛特(Charlotte)開辦了一家天然氣汽輪機廠,並與中部皮埃蒙特社區學院(Central Piedmont Community College)結成了夥伴關係。西門子公司幫助該學院設計鐳射和機器人技術培訓方面的課程。公司為傑基付了培訓費用,然後雇用她來工廠工作。

I want every American looking for work to have the same opportunity as Jackie did. Join me in a national commitment to train 2 million Americans with skills that will lead directly to a job. (Applause.)

我要讓每一位正在找工作的美國人都得到傑基那樣的機會。請與我一道努力在全國各地培訓200萬美國人,讓他們掌握能夠直接解決就業的技能。(掌聲)

My administration has already lined up more companies that want to help. Model partnerships between businesses like Siemens and community colleges in places like Charlotte, and Orlando, and Louisville are up and running. Now you need to give more community colleges the resources they need to become community career centers -– places that teach people skills that businesses are looking for right now, from data management to high-tech manufacturing.

我的政府已經彙集起更多的樂意幫忙的企業。像西門子這樣的企業與夏洛特、奧蘭多(Orlando)和路易斯維爾(Louisville)等地的社區學院之間的樣板夥伴關係正在建立並發揮效力。現在必須把資源給予更多的社區學院,讓它們成為社區職業培訓中心——教會人們目前企業所急需的從資料管理到高科技生產等各項技能。

And I want to cut through the maze of confusing training programs, so that from now on, people like Jackie have one program, one website, and one place to go for all the information and help that they need. It is time to turn our unemployment system into a reemployment system that puts people to work. (Applause.)

我要精簡令人眼花繚亂的種種培訓項目,從現在起,讓傑基這樣的民眾可以只上一個培訓項目、一個網站、一個地方,就能獲得他們所需的一切資訊和幫助。現在是把我們的失業救助系統變成讓人們重新走上工作崗位的再就業系統的時候了。(掌聲)

Education

These reforms will help people get jobs that are open today. But to prepare for the jobs of tomorrow, our commitment to skills and education has to start earlier. For less than 1 percent of what our nation spends on education each year, we’ve convinced nearly every state in the country to raise their standards for teaching and learning -- the first time that’s happened in a generation. But challenges remain. And we know how to solve them.

這些改革將幫助人們獲得目前依然空缺的就業崗位。但是,要為未來謀職做好準備,我們加強技能培訓和提高教育品質的努力就必須開始得更早。我們僅用了我國年度教育經費的不到百分之一,就說服了國內幾乎每一個州提高其教學和學習標準——這是幾十年來的第一次。我們仍然面臨諸多難題,但我們知道應當如何解決這些難題。

At a time when other countries are doubling down on education, tight budgets have forced states to lay off thousands of teachers. We know a good teacher can increase the lifetime income of a classroom by over $250,000. A great teacher can offer an escape from poverty to the child who dreams beyond his circumstance. Every person in this chamber can point to a teacher who changed the trajectory of their lives. Most teachers work tirelessly, with modest pay, sometimes digging into their own pocket for school supplies -- just to make a difference.

在其他國家正在加倍投資於教育的時候,拮据的預算已迫使各州解雇數以千計的教師。我們知道,一名好教師能夠使一個班的學生一生增加25萬美元的收入;一名好教師能夠讓一個夢想沖出困境的孩子獲得擺脫貧困的機會。在這個大廳中的每一個人都能說出一位改變了他們的生活軌跡的教師。大多數教師誨人不倦,他們收入不高,有時還得自己掏錢購買教學用品——只是為了盡自己的一份力。

Teachers matter. So instead of bashing them, or defending the status quo, let’s offer schools a deal. Give them the resources to keep good teachers on the job, and reward the best ones. (Applause.)

教師的作用重大。因此,不要責怪他們或者為現狀辯護,而是讓我們給學校提一個協議,為學校提供保留好教師所需要的資源,獎勵優秀教師。(掌聲)

And in return, grant schools flexibility: to teach with creativity and passion; to stop teaching to the test; and to replace teachers who just aren’t helping kids learn. That’s a bargain worth making. (Applause.)

作為交換,讓學校享有靈活性:創造性地、富於激情地進行教學,不再實行應試教育,並且取代對孩子的學習沒有幫助的教師。這是一個值得做的交換。(掌聲)

We also know that when students don’t walk away from their education, more of them walk the stage to get their diploma. When students are not allowed to drop out, they do better. So tonight, I am proposing that every state -- every state -- requires that all students stay in high school until they graduate or turn 18. (Applause.)

我們還知道,如果學生不中途退學,更多人會走上領取畢業證書的講臺。如果不允許學生輟學,他們會取得更好的成績。因此,今晚我提議,每一個州——每一個州——要求學生留在高中就讀,直到畢業或18歲。(掌聲)

Affordable Higher Education

When kids do graduate, the most daunting challenge can be the cost of college. At a time when Americans owe more in tuition debt than credit card debt, this Congress needs to stop the interest rates on student loans from doubling in July. (Applause.)

在孩子們畢業時,最嚴峻的挑戰可能是大學費用。此時此刻,美國人的學費債務超過了信用卡債務,國會必須阻止學生貸款利息在7月份成倍上漲。(掌聲)

Extend the tuition tax credit we started that saves millions of middle-class families thousands of dollars, and give more young people the chance to earn their way through college by doubling the number of work-study jobs in the next five years. (Applause.)

把我們開始的、為數百萬中產家庭節省成千上萬美元學費的減稅優惠延長下去,並通過在未來5年加倍提供半工半讀機會,讓更多的年輕人有機會自己掙錢念完大學。(掌聲)

Of course, it’s not enough for us to increase student aid. We can’t just keep subsidizing skyrocketing tuition; we’ll run out of money. States also need to do their part, by making higher education a higher priority in their budgets. And colleges and universities have to do their part by working to keep costs down.

當然,僅僅增加學生援助是不夠的。我們無法一再補貼不斷猛漲的學費;我們會耗光資金。各州也需要盡一份力,把高等教育作為其預算的一項重要內容。各高等院校必須儘量努力降低費用。

Recently, I spoke with a group of college presidents who’ve done just that. Some schools redesign courses to help students finish more quickly. Some use better technology. The point is, it’s possible. So let me put colleges and universities on notice: If you can’t stop tuition from going up, the funding you get from taxpayers will go down. (Applause.)

最近,我與一批已經這樣做的大學校長進行了交談。一些學校重新設計課程,幫助學生更快完成學業。有些採用了更好的技術手段。這就是說,這是可以辦到的。所以,讓我告知高等院校:如果你們不能停止學費上漲,那麼你們從納稅人那裏得到的資金就將減少。(掌聲)

Higher education can’t be a luxury -– it is an economic imperative that every family in America should be able to afford.

高等教育不能是奢侈品——它是經濟之必需,美國每一個家庭都應能支付得起。

Let’s also remember that hundreds of thousands of talented, hardworking students in this country face another challenge: the fact that they aren’t yet American citizens. Many were brought here as small children, are American through and through, yet they live every day with the threat of deportation. Others came more recently, to study business and science and engineering, but as soon as they get their degree, we send them home to invent new products and create new jobs somewhere else.

我們還要記住,在這個國家,幾十萬才華橫溢、勤奮好學的學生面臨著另一個挑戰:他們尚不是美國公民。他們許多人是小時候被帶到這裏,是地地道道的美國人,然而卻每天面臨被遣返的威脅。還有一些人最近才來這裏攻讀商學、科學和工程學,但他們一拿到學位,我們便送他們回國,到其他地方去發明新產品,創造新就業機會。

That doesn’t make sense.

這毫無道理可言。

I believe as strongly as ever that we should take on illegal immigration. That’s why my administration has put more boots on the border than ever before. That’s why there are fewer illegal crossings than when I took office. The opponents of action are out of excuses. We should be working on comprehensive immigration reform right now. (Applause.)

我極其堅定地相信,我們應著手解決非法移民問題。正因為如此,我的政府已經向邊界派遣了人數比以往任何時候都多的邊防人員。也正因為如此,現在非法越境事件比我上任時減少。反對這項行動的人再也找不到藉口。我們現在應當立即努力制定全面的移民改革方案。(掌聲)

But if election-year politics keeps Congress from acting on a comprehensive plan, let’s at least agree to stop expelling responsible young people who want to staff our labs, start new businesses, defend this country. Send me a law that gives them the chance to earn their citizenship. I will sign it right away. (Applause.)

但是,如果選舉年的政局使國會不情願就一項全面方案採取行動,那麼讓我們至少同意停止遣返那些有責任感的年輕人,他們希望去我們的實驗室、創業和捍衛這個國家。向我提交一項法案,讓他們有機會通過奮鬥取得公民身份。我將立刻簽署。(掌聲)

Supporting Innovation

You see, an economy built to last is one where we encourage the talent and ingenuity of every person in this country. That means women should earn equal pay for equal work. (Applause.)

要知道,長盛不衰的經濟要求我們激發這個國家每個人的聰明才智和創造力。這意味著對婦女應當實行同工同酬。(掌聲)

It means we should support everyone who’s willing to work, and every risk-taker and entrepreneur who aspires to become the next Steve Jobs. After all, innovation is what America has always been about. Most new jobs are created in start-ups and small businesses. So let’s pass an agenda that helps them succeed. Tear down regulations that prevent aspiring entrepreneurs from getting the financing to grow. (Applause.)

這意味著應當支持每一個願意工作的人,每一個敢於承擔風險的人,每一個有志成為下一個史蒂夫•約伯斯(Steve Jobs)的實業家。畢竟,創新是美國的根本。大多數新的就業崗位是由初創企業和小型企業創造的。因此讓我們實現一項有助於他們成功的議程。打破妨礙有抱負的企業家進行發展融資的條條框框。(掌聲)

Expand tax relief to small businesses that are raising wages and creating good jobs. Both parties agree on these ideas. So put them in a bill, and get it on my desk this year. (Applause.)

將減稅優惠擴大到那些增加工資和創造良好就業崗位的小型企業。兩黨都同意這些設想。因此,請把它們變成法案,今年放在我的辦公桌上。(掌聲)

Innovation also demands basic research. Today, the discoveries taking place in our federally financed labs and universities could lead to new treatments that kill cancer cells but leave healthy ones untouched. New lightweight vests for cops and soldiers that can stop any bullet. Don’t gut these investments in our budget. Don’t let other countries win the race for the future. Support the same kind of research and innovation that led to the computer chip and the Internet; to new American jobs and new American industries.

創新還要求從事基礎研究。今天,在我們聯邦政府資助的實驗室和大學獲得的各種發現有可能帶來新的治療方法,殺死癌細胞而不損壞健康細胞。新型的員警和士兵使用的輕便防彈背心可以擋住任何子彈。請不要在預算中除掉這些投資。請不要讓其他國家在未來的競賽中占上風。請支持研究與創新,正是它們帶來了電腦晶片和網際網路、帶來了美國的新就業崗位和新興行業。

Oil and Natural Gas

Fact Check: Where the Energy Is

An administration official declined to explain exactly what this potentially huge expansion of offshore activity meant, except to say that the Interior Department would be announcing new lease sales in the coming weeks. Those sales will not include areas the administration has already ruled off-limits, including most areas off Florida and along the Atlantic Coast, the official said, so it is not clear how the president reaches his target.

— John M. Broder, reporter

And nowhere is the promise of innovation greater than in American-made energy. Over the last three years, we’ve opened millions of new acres for oil and gas exploration, and tonight, I’m directing my administration to open more than 75 percent of our potential offshore oil and gas resources. (Applause.)

談到創新的前途,沒有任何一個領域能比美國能源產業更有希望。近三年來,我們進行了數百萬英畝的石油和天然氣探勘。今晚,我指示我的政府開發我國75%以上的潛在近海石油和天然氣資源。(掌聲)

Right now -- right now -- American oil production is the highest that it’s been in eight years. That’s right -- eight years. Not only that -- last year, we relied less on foreign oil than in any of the past 16 years. (Applause.)

目前——目前——美國的石油產量達到8年來最高水準。是的,8年。不僅如此,去年,我們對外國石油的依賴比以往 16 年中的任何一年都少。(掌聲)

But with only 2 percent of the world’s oil reserves, oil isn’t enough. This country needs an all-out, all-of-the-above strategy that develops every available source of American energy. (Applause.)

但是,鑒於我們僅有世界2%的石油儲備量,石油是不夠的。這個國家需要有一個全方位的綜合戰略,開發美國能源的各項潛能。(掌聲)

A strategy that’s cleaner, cheaper, and full of new jobs. We have a supply of natural gas that can last America nearly 100 years. (Applause.)

這項戰略意味著更清潔、更便宜、並充滿新的就業崗位。

And my administration will take every possible action to safely develop this energy. Experts believe this will support more than 600,000 jobs by the end of the decade. And I’m requiring all companies that drill for gas on public lands to disclose the chemicals they use. (Applause.)

本屆政府將採取一切可能措施安全地開發這種能源。專家認為,這將在10年內帶來 60 多萬個就業崗位。我要求在公有土地上鑽探天然氣的所有公司將他們使用的化學物質成分公諸於眾。(掌聲)

Because America will develop this resource without putting the health and safety of our citizens at risk. The development of natural gas will create jobs and power trucks and factories that are cleaner and cheaper, proving that we don’t have to choose between our environment and our economy. (Applause.)

這是因為,美國在開發這種資源時不會把我國公民的健康與安全置於危險境地。開發天然氣將創造就業崗位,為貨車和工廠提供更清潔和更便宜的能源,從而證明我們不必在環境與經濟兩者之間只取其一。(掌聲)

And by the way, it was public research dollars, over the course of 30 years, that helped develop the technologies to extract all this natural gas out of shale rock –- reminding us that government support is critical in helping businesses get new energy ideas off the ground. (Applause.)

順便提一下,是過去 30年間政府撥出的研究資金幫助開發了從葉岩中提煉天然氣的技術,這一點提醒我們:政府的支援對幫助企業把新能源設想轉化為現實至關重要。(掌聲)

Clean Energy

Now, what’s true for natural gas is just as true for clean energy. In three years, our partnership with the private sector has already positioned America to be the world’s leading manufacturer of high-tech batteries. Because of federal investments, renewable energy use has nearly doubled, and thousands of Americans have jobs because of it.

天然氣的道理同樣適用于清潔能源。三年來,我們與民間行業建立的夥伴關係已經使美國在世界高科技電池生產中處於領先位置。由於聯邦政府的投資,可再生能源的使用幾乎翻了一番,並給成千上萬美國人帶來就業機會。

When Bryan Ritterby was laid off from his job making furniture, he said he worried that at 55, no one would give him a second chance. But he found work at Energetx, a wind turbine manufacturer in Michigan. Before the recession, the factory only made luxury yachts. Today, it’s hiring workers like Bryan, who said, “I’m proud to be working in the industry of the future.”

布賴恩•裏特比(Bryan Ritterby)從傢俱製造業下崗時,曾擔心已經55歲的他不再會有另一次機會。但他在密歇根州一家叫做“活力”( Energetx)的風力渦輪機製造廠找到了工作。在經濟衰退前,這家工廠只建造豪華遊艇。今天,它在招聘像布賴恩這樣的工人。布賴恩說:“我為在這個未來行業工作感到自豪。”

Our experience with shale gas, our experience with natural gas, shows us that the payoffs on these public investments don’t always come right away. Some technologies don’t pan out; some companies fail. But I will not walk away from the promise of clean energy. I will not walk away from workers like Bryan. (Applause.)

我們在葉岩氣,我們在天然氣方面的經驗告訴我們,這些公共投資不一定帶來立竿見影的回報。某些技術未取得成果,有些企業倒閉。但我不會背棄對清潔能源作出的承諾。我不會背棄像布賴恩這樣的工人。(掌聲)

I will not cede the wind or solar or battery industry to China or Germany because we refuse to make the same commitment here. We’ve subsidized oil companies for a century. That’s long enough. (Applause.)

我不會因為我們拒絕在這裏作出同樣的承諾而把風力或太陽能或電池工業讓給中國或德國。我們對石油公司的補貼已經達一個世紀,時間足矣。(掌聲)

It’s time to end the taxpayer giveaways to an industry that rarely has been more profitable, and double-down on a clean energy industry that never has been more promising. Pass clean energy tax credits. Create these jobs. (Applause.)

現在應該是停止向這個利潤鮮遜於任何人的產業提供納稅人饋贈、轉向為前途從未如此光明的清潔能源加倍投資的時候了。請批准清潔能源減稅優惠。請創造這些就業機會。(掌聲)

We can also spur energy innovation with new incentives. The differences in this chamber may be too deep right now to pass a comprehensive plan to fight climate change. But there’s no reason why Congress shouldn’t at least set a clean energy standard that creates a market for innovation. So far, you haven’t acted. Well, tonight, I will. I’m directing my administration to allow the development of clean energy on enough public land to power 3 million homes. And I’m proud to announce that the Department of Defense, working with us, the world’s largest consumer of energy, will make one of the largest commitments to clean energy in history -– with the Navy purchasing enough capacity to power a quarter of a million homes a year. (Applause.)

我們也能夠通過新的鼓勵項目來刺激能源創新。目前國會的分歧或許太深,難以為解決氣候變化問題通過一項全面的方案。然而,國會沒有理由為什麼不應至少制定一項清潔能源標準,為發明革新開闢市場。迄今,你們尚未採取行動。今晚,我將採取行動。我將指示本屆政府批准在公共土地上開發足以供300萬家庭用電需要的清潔能源。我很自豪地宣佈,國防部(Department of Defense)與我們一道,為這個世界最大的能源消費國作出有史以來對清潔能源最大的承諾之一——海軍將購買足以每年為25萬家庭提供電力的供電能力。(掌聲)

Of course, the easiest way to save money is to waste less energy. So here’s a proposal: Help manufacturers eliminate energy waste in their factories and give businesses incentives to upgrade their buildings. Their energy bills will be $100 billion lower over the next decade, and America will have less pollution, more manufacturing, more jobs for construction workers who need them. Send me a bill that creates these jobs. (Applause.)

當然,節省資金的最簡便方式是節約能源。因此,我在此提議:幫助廠家杜絕工廠的能源浪費,為公司提供改造建築的獎勵計畫。這樣一來,未來10年的能源費用將會減少1,000億美元,使美國的污染降低,製造業擴大,給建築業帶來工人所需的更多就業崗位。請提交我一項創造這類就業崗位的法案。(掌聲)

Infrastructure Projects

Building this new energy future should be just one part of a broader agenda to repair America’s infrastructure. So much of America needs to be rebuilt. We’ve got crumbling roads and bridges; a power grid that wastes too much energy; an incomplete high-speed broadband network that prevents a small business owner in rural America from selling her products all over the world.

開創新能源的前景,應該只是修整美國基礎設施的更宏大計畫中的一項內容。美國有許多領域需要重建。我們的道路和橋樑失修,供電網浪費能源過多,高速寬頻網路不健全,致使美國鄉村地區的小企業難以將產品行銷全球。

During the Great Depression, America built the Hoover Dam and the Golden Gate Bridge. After World War II, we connected our states with a system of highways. Democratic and Republican administrations invested in great projects that benefited everybody, from the workers who built them to the businesses that still use them today.

在大蕭條時期(Great Depression),美國修建了胡佛水壩(Hoover Dam)和金門大橋(Golden Gate Bridge)。二次大戰後,我們修建了連接各州的高速公路。民主黨和共和黨政府均為大型項目作出投資,造福了所有人——從當年的建設者到今天仍在使用它們的公司企業。

In the next few weeks, I will sign an executive order clearing away the red tape that slows down too many construction projects. But you need to fund these projects. Take the money we’re no longer spending at war, use half of it to pay down our debt, and use the rest to do some nation-building right here at home. (Applause.)

在今後幾周內,我將簽署一項行政令,以排除使許多建築項目停滯不前的官僚障礙。但是,你們需要為這些專案出資。利用我們不再為戰爭開支的經費,以其中二分之一支付我們的債務,用另一半來進行我們的國內建設。(掌聲)

Housing Market and Mortgages

Fact Check: Helping Homeowners

This proposed program will target people whose mortgage debts exceed the value of their homes, according to a senior administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the details have not yet been finalized. The official estimated that two million to three million homeowners could benefit, and that the program could cost $10 billion.

The proposal would join an existing program that offers refinancing to borrowers whose loans are held by the government-owned mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This new program would target borrowers whose loans are held by other companies.

It is the latest in a long series of largely unsuccessful efforts by the administration to improve the housing market. Like most of its predecessors, it is not focused on borrowers who are facing foreclosure, but on those who have been able to keep making the payments on their homes.

— Binyamin Appelbaum, reporter

There’s never been a better time to build, especially since the construction industry was one of the hardest hit when the housing bubble burst. Of course, construction workers weren’t the only ones who were hurt. So were millions of innocent Americans who’ve seen their home values decline. And while government can’t fix the problem on its own, responsible homeowners shouldn’t have to sit and wait for the housing market to hit bottom to get some relief. And that’s why I’m sending this Congress a plan that gives every responsible homeowner the chance to save about $3,000 a year on their mortgage, by refinancing at historically low rates. (Applause.)

現在是從事基建的最佳時機,特別是由於建築業是在房地產泡沫破裂時遭受最大重創的行業之一。當然,受到衝擊的不僅是建築工人。數百萬無辜的美國人也受到衝擊,他們的房屋價值下跌。雖然政府無法單獨解決這一問題,但不應讓負責任的房主等到房地產市場跌入穀底才可獲得救助。因此,我將向本屆國會提交一項方案,為每位負責任的房主提供機會,通過有史以來最低的利息進行重新貸款,使他們可在房貸上每年節省3,000美元。(掌聲)

No more red tape. No more runaround from the banks. A small fee on the largest financial institutions will ensure that it won’t add to the deficit and will give those banks that were rescued by taxpayers a chance to repay a deficit of trust. (Applause.)

不再有官僚擋道。不再有銀行拖延。對規模最大的金融機構收取一小筆費用,可確保不導致赤字遞增,並使那些被納稅人救助的銀行有機會償還它們的信用赤字。(掌聲)

Let’s never forget: Millions of Americans who work hard and play by the rules every day deserve a government and a financial system that do the same. It’s time to apply the same rules from top to bottom. No bailouts, no handouts, and no copouts. An America built to last insists on responsibility from everybody. We’ve all paid the price for lenders who sold mortgages to people who couldn’t afford them, and buyers who knew they couldn’t afford them. That’s why we need smart regulations to prevent irresponsible behavior. (Applause.)

讓我們永遠不要忘記:每天都勤奮工作、遵紀守法的千百萬美國人理當擁有一個以同樣方式行事的政府和金融體系。現在應該從上到下實行同一個規則:不再允許紓困、施捨和逃避責任。美國的長盛不衰要求每一個人都承擔責任。由於貸款人向無力償還抵押貸款的申情人貸款,由於購買方明知負擔不起仍勉為其難,我們所有的人已經為此付出了代價。正是因為這個原因,我們需要採取有效的監管制止不負責任的行為。(掌聲)

Corporate and Financial Regulation

Rules to prevent financial fraud or toxic dumping or faulty medical devices -- these don’t destroy the free market. They make the free market work better. There’s no question that some regulations are outdated, unnecessary, or too costly. In fact, I’ve approved fewer regulations in the first three years of my presidency than my Republican predecessor did in his. (Applause.)

防止金融欺詐的規定,禁止傾倒有毒物品或生產劣質醫療設備的條例——這些都不會損害自由市場,反而會促使自由市場更好地運作。毫無疑問,有些規章已經過時、並非必需而且代價過高。事實上,我在總統任期內的頭3年批准的規章比我的共和黨籍前任在同期內所頒行的規章要少。(掌聲)

I’ve ordered every federal agency to eliminate rules that don’t make sense. We’ve already announced over 500 reforms, and just a fraction of them will save business and citizens more than $10 billion over the next five years. We got rid of one rule from 40 years ago that could have forced some dairy farmers to spend $10,000 a year proving that they could contain a spill -- because milk was somehow classified as an oil. With a rule like that, I guess it was worth crying over spilled milk. (Laughter and applause.) Now, I’m confident a farmer can contain a milk spill without a federal agency looking over his shoulder. (Applause.)

我已指令每個聯邦機構取消不合理的規章。我們已經宣佈實行500多項改革,僅其中的一小部分便能在今後5年為企業和公民節省100多億美元。我們取消了40多年前制定的一項規定,這項規定導致一些奶牛場可能每年要花10,000美元來證明他們能夠控制洩漏——因為牛奶不知何故被歸為油類。有了這樣的規定,我想即使灑了牛奶,也值得大哭一場(crying over spilled milk)。(笑聲和掌聲)而我確信一名牧民有能力處理牛奶洩漏,不需要一個聯邦機構插手。(掌聲)

Absolutely. But I will not back down from making sure an oil company can contain the kind of oil spill we saw in the Gulf two years ago. (Applause.)

這是毫無疑問的。但我不會放鬆對石油公司防止漏油的要求,確保不再發生我們兩年前在墨西哥灣看到的漏油事故。(掌聲)

I will not back down from protecting our kids from mercury poisoning, or making sure that our food is safe and our water is clean. I will not go back to the days when health insurance companies had unchecked power to cancel your policy, deny your coverage, or charge women differently than men. (Applause.)

我不會放鬆為保護我們的孩子們免受汞中毒危害提出的要求,不會放鬆我們為保證食品安全和清潔用水提出的要求。我不會回到過去允許醫療保險公司任意取消保單,拒絕承保,對女性收取與男性不同保費的日子。(掌聲)

And I will not go back to the days when Wall Street was allowed to play by its own set of rules. The new rules we passed restore what should be any financial system’s core purpose: Getting funding to entrepreneurs with the best ideas, and getting loans to responsible families who want to buy a home, or start a business, or send their kids to college. So if you are a big bank or financial institution, you’re no longer allowed to make risky bets with your customers’ deposits. You’re required to write out a “living will” that details exactly how you’ll pay the bills if you fail –- because the rest of us are not bailing you out ever again. (Applause.)

我也不會回到允許華爾街(Wall Street)自行其事的日子。我們已經批准的新規則重新確立了任何一個金融體制都應遵循的核心宗旨:向提出最佳創意的創業者提供資金,向希望買房子、開公司或送子女上大學的負責任的家庭提供貸款。因此,如果你是一家大銀行或金融機構,你就不能再用客戶的存款從事冒險的交易。你必須開出一份詳細說明你一旦倒閉將如何償清款項的“預囑”(living will)——因為我們其他的人不願再為你們紓困。(掌聲)

And if you’re a mortgage lender or a payday lender or a credit card company, the days of signing people up for products they can’t afford with confusing forms and deceptive practices -- those days are over. Today, American consumers finally have a watchdog in Richard Cordray with one job: To look out for them. (Applause.)

如果你是一家抵押貸款機構或薪金預支行或信用卡公司,利用難懂的表格和欺詐手段導致人們簽購他們負擔不起的金融產品——這樣的日子已經一去不復返。今天,美國消費者終於有了由理查•科德雷(Richard Cordray)負責的監管機構,承擔保護他們的專門職能。(掌聲)

Fact Check: Cracking Down on Financial Crime

A New York Times analysis of enforcement actions by the Securities and Exchange Commission over the last 15 years found at least 51 instances where large financial companies were charged with violating an anti-fraud law that the company had vowed in a prior settlement never to violate.

Mr. Obama said measures are needed to make sure that Wall Street firms do not see those settlements as little more than the cost of doing business. That statement echoed an opinion issued in November by Judge Jed S. Rakoff, a federal district judge in Manhattan, who rejected a proposed $285 million settlement in a case between the S.E.C. and Citigroup on fraud charges related to the mortgage crisis.

Judge Rakoff said the S.E.C.'s policy of allowing companies to "neither admit nor deny" the S.E.C.'s charges gave him no way to judge what had really happened, and therefore whether the proposed punishment was fair and adequate.

— Edward Wyatt, reporter

We’ll also establish a Financial Crimes Unit of highly trained investigators to crack down on large-scale fraud and protect people’s investments. Some financial firms violate major anti-fraud laws because there’s no real penalty for being a repeat offender. That’s bad for consumers, and it’s bad for the vast majority of bankers and financial service professionals who do the right thing. So pass legislation that makes the penalties for fraud count.

我們還將建立一個金融犯罪調查組(Financial Crimes Unit),由訓練有素的調查人員組成,打擊大規模欺詐活動並保護民眾的投資。某些金融公司違反重要的反欺詐法規,因為屢屢違犯者並沒有受到實質性懲治。這損害了消費者,也損害了絕大多數遵紀守法的銀行及金融服務業專業人員。因此,通過懲治欺詐的立法意義重大。

And tonight, I’m asking my Attorney General to create a special unit of federal prosecutors and leading state attorney general to expand our investigations into the abusive lending and packaging of risky mortgages that led to the housing crisis. (Applause.)

今晚,我要求司法部長成立由聯邦檢察官和具有主導地位的各州司法部長組成的特別工作組,對導致房產危機的違章借貸與包裝風險房貸展開更大規模調查。(掌聲)

This new unit will hold accountable those who broke the law, speed assistance to homeowners, and help turn the page on an era of recklessness that hurt so many Americans.

這個工作組將追究違法責任,加快為房主提供幫助,加速結束這個傷害到如此之多美國人的無節制時期。

Taxes and "The Buffett Rule"

Now, a return to the American values of fair play and shared responsibility will help protect our people and our economy. But it should also guide us as we look to pay down our debt and invest in our future. Right now, our most immediate priority is stopping a tax hike on 160 million working Americans while the recovery is still fragile. (Applause.)

現在,回歸公平合理和共同責任的美國價值觀,將有利於保護我們的人民和我們的經濟,而它也應該會引領我們注意償還債務和投資我們的未來。眼下,我們最直接的當務之急是,在經濟復蘇仍然脆弱的情況下,避免給1億6千萬美國工薪階層加稅。(掌聲)

Fact Check: The Payroll Tax Cut

In 2011, Congress unexpectedly slashed the payroll tax — a levy on wages that helps to fund Social Security — to 4.2 percent from 6.2 percent of a worker's paycheck. That saved the average American household $934 in 2011, the Tax Policy Center calculated.

It is impossible to gauge the exact effect of the tax cut on the larger economy, but most analysts credit it with lifting consumer spending and helping households cope with the sluggish economy and high gas prices last year.

The Obama administration proposed not only keeping the temporary tax cut for 2012, but expanding it, arguing that the economy is still too weak for middle-class Americans to be paying higher taxes.

Economists argue that dollar for dollar, the payroll tax cut does not jolt growth as well as those extra weeks of jobless benefits. Many forecasters say that letting the payroll tax cut expire would have only a slight negative impact on overall growth — perhaps not a risk taking, but nothing that would put the economy back on the brink of recession, all things equal.

— Annie Lowrey, reporter

People cannot afford losing $40 out of each paycheck this year. There are plenty of ways to get this done. So let’s agree right here, right now: No side issues. No drama. Pass the payroll tax cut without delay. Let’s get it done. (Applause.)

人們今年無法承受從每次工資中減少40美元。可以有許多途徑達到上述目標。為此,讓我們在此地此時一致同意:不要附加議題。不要造勢。毫無耽擱地批准削減工資稅。讓我們完成這項工作。(掌聲)

When it comes to the deficit, we’ve already agreed to more than $2 trillion in cuts and savings. But we need to do more, and that means making choices. Right now, we’re poised to spend nearly $1 trillion more on what was supposed to be a temporary tax break for the wealthiest 2 percent of Americans. Right now, because of loopholes and shelters in the tax code, a quarter of all millionaires pay lower tax rates than millions of middle-class households. Right now, Warren Buffett pays a lower tax rate than his secretary.

在赤字問題上,我們已就削減和節省2萬億以上美元開支達成協定。但我們還需進一步努力,而這意味著作出選擇。目前,我們要額外花費將近1萬億美元來支持一項本應是臨時性的為美國2%最富有的人減稅的項目。如今,由於稅法的缺陷和保護規定,四分之一的百萬富翁享有比數百萬中產階層家庭要低的稅率。今天,沃倫•巴菲特(Warren Buffett)的稅率比他的秘書的稅率還低。

Do we want to keep these tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans? Or do we want to keep our investments in everything else –- like education and medical research; a strong military and care for our veterans? Because if we’re serious about paying down our debt, we can’t do both.

我們希望保留這些給美國富人的減稅措施嗎?還是說我們希望把投資用於其他方面——如教育和醫學研究,加強軍力和照料退伍軍人?因為如果我們真想擺脫債務,就不可能兩者兼得。

The American people know what the right choice is. So do I. As I told the Speaker this summer, I’m prepared to make more reforms that rein in the long-term costs of Medicare and Medicaid, and strengthen Social Security, so long as those programs remain a guarantee of security for seniors. But in return, we need to change our tax code so that people like me, and an awful lot of members of Congress, pay our fair share of taxes. (Applause.)

美國人民知道什麼是正確的選擇。我也知道。正如去年夏天我對眾議院議長所說,我有準備作出進一步改革,控制醫療照顧(Medicare)和醫療補助( Medicaid)開銷,鞏固社會安全福利(Social Security),只要這些項目繼續能為老年人提供保障。但回過頭來說,我們需要修改稅法,讓像我這樣以及像國會中許多人一樣的人,繳納我們應該承擔的稅收。

Tax reform should follow the Buffett Rule. If you make more than $1 million a year, you should not pay less than 30 percent in taxes. And my Republican friend Tom Coburn is right: Washington should stop subsidizing millionaires. In fact, if you’re earning a million dollars a year, you shouldn’t get special tax subsidies or deductions. On the other hand, if you make under $250,000 a year, like 98 percent of American families, your taxes shouldn’t go up. (Applause.)

稅務改革應該遵循巴菲特規則(Buffett Rule),即如果你年收入超過1億美元,你的稅率就不應低於30%。我的共和黨朋友湯姆•科伯恩(Tom Coburn)說得對:華盛頓應該停止補貼百萬富翁。實際上,如果你的年收入超過1億美元,你就不應享有納稅補貼和減免。而另一方面,如果你的收入不到25萬美元一年,98%的家庭都是這樣,那麼你們的稅率就不應增加。(掌聲)

You’re the ones struggling with rising costs and stagnant wages. You’re the ones who need relief. Now, you can call this class warfare all you want. But asking a billionaire to pay at least as much as his secretary in taxes? Most Americans would call that common sense.

你們面對著價格上漲而工資不動的艱難,你們是需要得到減稅的人。誰要稱這是階級對抗,請自便。但要求百萬富翁至少同他的秘書一樣納稅應該被稱作什麼?大多數美國人會稱這是常理。

We don’t begrudge financial success in this country. We admire it. When Americans talk about folks like me paying my fair share of taxes, it’s not because they envy the rich. It’s because they understand that when I get a tax break I don’t need and the country can’t afford, it either adds to the deficit, or somebody else has to make up the difference -- like a senior on a fixed income, or a student trying to get through school, or a family trying to make ends meet. That’s not right. Americans know that’s not right. They know that this generation’s success is only possible because past generations felt a responsibility to each other, and to the future of their country, and they know our way of life will only endure if we feel that same sense of shared responsibility. That’s how we’ll reduce our deficit. That’s an America built to last. (Applause.)

在這個國家,我們並不妒忌財務上的成功,我們對此表示讚賞。當人們談論像我這樣的人付出我應付的那一部分稅金時,那不是因為他們妒忌我的富有,那是因為他們理解,我如果獲得一個我並不需要、同時國家又無力負擔的稅務減免時,只會增加赤字或讓旁人去承擔這個差額,例如一個靠固定收入維生的老年人,或一個正奮力完成學業的學生,或一個勉力維持日常開銷的家庭。那是不對的,美國人也都知道,那是不對的。他們知道,正因為以前的幾代人認識到他們彼此肩負的責任,對國家未來肩負的責任,這一代人才有可能獲得成功;他們知道,只有當我們也具有共同的責任感,我們的生活方式才有可能持續下去。這就是我們今後降低赤字的途徑。這樣美國才能常盛不衰。(掌聲)

Money in Politics

Fact Check: Insider Trading by Congress

The Times reported last month: Perhaps the most tantalizing but hotly debated factor in the rising wealth of Congress is lawmakers' performance in the stock markets — and the question of whether they are using their access to confidential information to enrich themselves.

In a study completed this year, Alan Ziobrowski at Georgia State and his colleagues found that House members saw the stocks they owned outperform the market by 6 percent a year. Their research from several years ago found that senators did even better, at 12 percent above average. The researchers attributed the performance to a "significant information advantage" that lawmakers hold by virtue of their positions and the fact that they are not bound by insider-trading laws.

However, a separate study last year by researchers at Yale and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology found that the portfolios of lawmakers actually performed somewhat worse than those of average investors. It found that members did do better when investing in companies in their home districts or associated with campaign donors — suggesting that they benefited from their political connections — but still not as well as the average investor.

— Eric Lichtblau, reporter

Now, I recognize that people watching tonight have differing views about taxes and debt, energy and health care. But no matter what party they belong to, I bet most Americans are thinking the same thing right about now: Nothing will get done in Washington this year, or next year, or maybe even the year after that, because Washington is broken.

我承認,今晚正在收看我的講話的人們對稅務和債務、能源和醫療保健等事項有不同的看法,但是不論他們屬於哪一個黨派,我可以斷定此時此刻大多數美國人都在思考同一件事:今年,明年,甚至後年,華盛頓將一事無成,因為華盛頓四分五裂。

Can you blame them for feeling a little cynical?

他們感覺有點悲觀你能責怪他們嗎?

The greatest blow to our confidence in our economy last year didn’t come from events beyond our control. It came from a debate in Washington over whether the United States would pay its bills or not. Who benefited from that fiasco? I’ve talked tonight about the deficit of trust between Main Street and Wall Street. But the divide between this city and the rest of the country is at least as bad -- and it seems to get worse every year.
Some of this has to do with the corrosive influence of money in politics. So together, let’s take some steps to fix that. Send me a bill that bans insider trading by members of Congress; I will sign it tomorrow. (Applause.)

去年對我們經濟的信心最大的打擊不是來自我們不能控制的事件,而是來自華盛頓關於美國能否彌補開支的討論。誰能從這樣的不利局面中得利?有些問題與金錢政治的腐蝕性有關。為此讓我們一起採取一些步驟解決這個問題。請給我提交一項禁止國會議員進行內幕交易的法案,我明天就簽署。(掌聲)

Let’s limit any elected official from owning stocks in industries they impact. Let’s make sure people who bundle campaign contributions for Congress can’t lobby Congress, and vice versa -- an idea that has bipartisan support, at least outside of Washington.

讓我們限制任何民選官員在他們可以產生影響的行業擁有股票。讓我們確保為國會競選集中籌款的人不得遊說國會,反之亦然 ——這個想法至少在華盛頓之外得到兩黨的支持。

Bipartisanship

Some of what’s broken has to do with the way Congress does its business these days. A simple majority is no longer enough to get anything -– even routine business –- passed through the Senate. (Applause.)

某些方面出現的失常現象與國會近來工作的方式有關。簡單多數不再足以在參議院通過任何法案——甚至包括日常事務。(掌聲)

Neither party has been blameless in these tactics. Now both parties should put an end to it. (Applause.)

對於這種種策略,任何一黨都不能回避自己的責任。現在,兩黨都應該加以制止。(掌聲)

For starters, I ask the Senate to pass a simple rule that all judicial and public service nominations receive a simple up or down vote within 90 days. (Applause.)

首先,我要求參議院通過一個簡單的規則,對所有司法和公共服務部門的提名必須在90天內給予贊成或否定的簡單表決。(掌聲)

The executive branch also needs to change. Too often, it’s inefficient, outdated and remote. (Applause.)

行政部門也需要改變。這個部門往往效率不高、陳舊過時、脫離實際。(掌聲)

That’s why I’ve asked this Congress to grant me the authority to consolidate the federal bureaucracy, so that our government is leaner, quicker, and more responsive to the needs of the American people. (Applause.)

這就是為什麼我要求本屆國會給予我整合聯邦官僚體制的權力,使我們的政府更精簡、反應更快、更能適應美國人民的需要。(掌聲)

Finally, none of this can happen unless we also lower the temperature in this town. We need to end the notion that the two parties must be locked in a perpetual campaign of mutual destruction; that politics is about clinging to rigid ideologies instead of building consensus around common-sense ideas. I’m a Democrat. But I believe what Republican Abraham Lincoln believed: That government should do for people only what they cannot do better by themselves, and no more. (Applause.)

最後,我們也需要降低這個城市積聚的高溫,否則將一事無成。我們應該拋棄一些觀念,例如兩黨必然會黨同伐異,相互摧毀;政治意味著堅持僵化的意識形態,無法按照事理常情建立共識等。我是民主黨人。但是我相信共和黨亞伯拉罕•林肯(Abraham Lincoln)的信念:政府只應該為人民做他們自己無法做得更好的事情,僅此而已。(掌聲)

That’s why my education reform offers more competition, and more control for schools and states. That’s why we’re getting rid of regulations that don’t work. That’s why our health care law relies on a reformed private market, not a government program.

正是因為這個原因,我的教育改革要求各學校和各州有更多的競爭、更多的自主。正是因為這個原因,我們正在取消不起作用的監管條例。正是因為這個原因,我們的醫療保健法律依靠改革後的民營市場,不再依靠政府專案。

On the other hand, even my Republican friends who complain the most about government spending have supported federally financed roads, and clean energy projects, and federal offices for the folks back home.

另外一方面,我的某些共和黨朋友,即使對政府支出最強烈地表示不滿,也支持聯邦撥款用於建造道路,實施清潔能源專案和為國內服務的聯邦機構。

The point is, we should all want a smarter, more effective government. And while we may not be able to bridge our biggest philosophical differences this year, we can make real progress. With or without this Congress, I will keep taking actions that help the economy grow. But I can do a whole lot more with your help. Because when we act together, there’s nothing the United States of America can’t achieve. (Applause.)

問題在於,我們都希望有一個更明智、更有效的政府。儘管我們可能無法在今年彌合我們之間觀念上最大的分歧,我們仍然可以取得實際進展。無論本屆國會是否參與,我都會採取行動促進經濟增長。但如果得到你們的幫助,我可以做更多的事情。因為如果我們共同努力,美利堅合眾國就沒有達不到的目標。(掌聲)

The Middle East

That’s the lesson we’ve learned from our actions abroad over the last few years. Ending the Iraq war has allowed us to strike decisive blows against our enemies. From Pakistan to Yemen, the al Qaeda operatives who remain are scrambling, knowing that they can’t escape the reach of the United States of America. (Applause.)

這是我們在過去幾年的海外行動中取得的經驗。結束伊拉克戰爭讓我們能夠給我們的敵人以致命的打擊。從巴基斯坦(Pakistan)到葉門(Yemen),殘餘的“基地”組織成員倉皇失措,知道自己無法逃脫美利堅合眾國的恢恢天網。(掌聲)

Fact Check: Ending the Iraq War

Mr. Obama did not mention that since the withdrawal of American troops, violence and political instability have swept Iraq. Some experts argue that the absence of an American military presence has diminished the administration's ability to influence the government of Prime Minister Nouri Kamal al-Maliki. Iran's government has emerged as a counterweight to the United States in Iraq, though the extent of its influence can be exaggerated.

— Steven Lee Myers, reporter

From this position of strength, we’ve begun to wind down the war in Afghanistan. Ten thousand of our troops have come home. Twenty-three thousand more will leave by the end of this summer. This transition to Afghan lead will continue, and we will build an enduring partnership with Afghanistan, so that it is never again a source of attacks against America. (Applause.)

從這個實力地位出發,我們已經開始逐步緊縮在阿富汗的戰事。我軍有一萬人已經回國。還有2萬3千多人到今年夏天將會撤離。這個讓阿富汗發揮主導作用的過渡將繼續,我們將與阿富汗建立持久的夥伴關係,讓它永遠不可能再成為攻擊美國的一個發源地。(掌聲)

As the tide of war recedes, a wave of change has washed across the Middle East and North Africa, from Tunis to Cairo; from Sana’a to Tripoli. A year ago, Qaddafi was one of the world’s longest-serving dictators -– a murderer with American blood on his hands. Today, he is gone. And in Syria, I have no doubt that the Assad regime will soon discover that the forces of change cannot be reversed, and that human dignity cannot be denied. (Applause.)

隨著戰爭浪潮的消退,一股變革的潮流席捲整個中東和北非,從突尼斯(Tunis)到開羅(Cairo),從薩那(Sana’a)到的黎波里(Tripoli)。一年前,格達費(Qadhafi)還是世界上當權時間最長的獨裁者之一——是雙手沾滿了美國人鮮血的兇手。今天,他已不復存在。在敘利亞,我毫不懷疑,阿薩德(Assad)政權很快就會發現,變革的力量無法逆轉,人類尊嚴不容抹殺。(掌聲)

How this incredible transformation will end remains uncertain. But we have a huge stake in the outcome. And while it’s ultimately up to the people of the region to decide their fate, we will advocate for those values that have served our own country so well. We will stand against violence and intimidation. We will stand for the rights and dignity of all human beings –- men and women; Christians, Muslims and Jews. We will support policies that lead to strong and stable democracies and open markets, because tyranny is no match for liberty. And we will safeguard America’s own security against those who threaten our citizens, our friends, and our interests.

這場令人令人震撼的變革結果如何仍無法確定。但我們與其最終結果利害攸關。本地區人民的命運歸根結底由他們自己決定,但我們將宣導那些使我們自己的國家受益匪淺的價值觀。我們將反對暴力和恐嚇。我們將捍衛全人類的權利和尊嚴——男性和女性;基督徒、穆斯林和猶太人。我們將支持有助於建設強大穩定的民主和開放市場的政策,因為自由必將戰勝暴政。我們將維護美國自身的安全,防範那些威脅我國公民、我國盟友和我國利益的人。

Iran

Look at Iran. Through the power of our diplomacy, a world that was once divided about how to deal with Iran’s nuclear program now stands as one. The regime is more isolated than ever before; its leaders are faced with crippling sanctions, and as long as they shirk their responsibilities, this pressure will not relent. Let there be no doubt: America is determined to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon, and I will take no options off the table to achieve that goal. (Applause.)

看看伊朗。我國外交的有力作用讓一個曾對如何應對伊朗的核計畫存在分歧的世界現在團結一致。該政權比以往任何時候都更加孤立;該國領導人面臨著嚴厲制裁,只要他們還在逃避自己的責任,這樣的施壓就不會放鬆。毫無疑問:美國決心阻止伊朗獲得核武器,為實現這一目標,我將不排除任何方案。(掌聲)

But a peaceful resolution of this issue is still possible, and far better, and if Iran changes course and meets its obligations, it can rejoin the community of nations.

但和平解決這個問題仍然是可能的,而且益處大得多。伊朗如果改弦易轍並履行其義務,就可以重新加入國際社會。

Global Influence

The renewal of American leadership can be felt across the globe. Our oldest alliances in Europe and Asia are stronger than ever. Our ties to the Americas are deeper. Our ironclad commitment -- and I mean ironclad -- to Israel’s security has meant the closest military cooperation between our two countries in history. (Applause.)

美國領導地位的重振在全球各地都有所體現。我們在歐洲和亞洲歷史最悠久的同盟比以往任何時候都更強大。我們與美洲的關係更加深厚。我們對以色列的安全作出的牢不可破的承諾——我是說牢不可破——意味著我們兩國在歷史上最密切的軍事合作。(掌聲)

We’ve made it clear that America is a Pacific power, and a new beginning in Burma has lit a new hope. From the coalitions we’ve built to secure nuclear materials, to the missions we’ve led against hunger and disease; from the blows we’ve dealt to our enemies, to the enduring power of our moral example, America is back. Anyone who tells you otherwise, anyone who tells you that America is in decline or that our influence has waned, doesn’t know what they’re talking about. (Applause.)

我們已經很清楚地表明,美國是一個太平洋大國,緬甸的新開端點燃了新的希望。從我們建立的保障核材料安全的聯盟,到我們領導的消除饑餓和疾病的使命;從我們對敵人的打擊,到我們作為道義典範的持久力量——美國回來了。如果有人另有別論,如果有人說美國正在衰落或我們的影響力已經減弱,都是不知所云。(掌聲)

That’s not the message we get from leaders around the world who are eager to work with us. That’s not how people feel from Tokyo to Berlin, from Cape Town to Rio, where opinions of America are higher than they’ve been in years. Yes, the world is changing. No, we can’t control every event. But America remains the one indispensable nation in world affairs –- and as long as I’m President, I intend to keep it that way. (Applause.)

這不是我們從渴望與我們合作的世界各國領導人那裏得到的資訊。這也不是從東京(Tokoyo)到柏林(Berlin),從開普敦(Cape Town)到里約(Rio)等地人民的感覺,這些地方對美國的看法比數年來的任何時候都好。是的,世界正在改變;不錯,我們不能控制每一事件,但美國仍然是世界事務中不可或缺的國家——只要我仍擔任總統之職,就將保持已成的盛業。(掌聲)

Military Spending

Fact Check: Paying for the Military

Mr. Obama's assertion that he has a defense strategy that ensures that the United States maintains the finest military in the world is hard to quibble with, since even with coming defense cuts America will still spend $500 billion each year on its military, which is almost as much as all other military budgets in the world combined.

Although the Republican presidential candidates have charged that Mr. Obama is gutting defense, in reality it was both Republicans and Democrats in Congress who agreed with Mr. Obama last summer to cut $450 billion in Pentagon spending over the next decade, or about 8 percent of the base Pentagon budget. There is a potential for an additional $500 billion in Pentagon budget cuts over a decade if Congress follows through on deeper reductions, but Mr. Obama's defense secretary, Leon E. Panetta, has characterized them as ruinous.

— Elisabeth Bumiller, reporter

That’s why, working with our military leaders, I’ve proposed a new defense strategy that ensures we maintain the finest military in the world, while saving nearly half a trillion dollars in our budget. To stay one step ahead of our adversaries, I’ve already sent this Congress legislation that will secure our country from the growing dangers of cyber-threats. (Applause.)
Above all, our freedom endures because of the men and women in uniform who defend it. (Applause.)

那就是為什麼我與我們的軍事將領一起提出新的國防戰略,確保我們維持全世界最優異的軍力,同時為我們的預算節省將近5,000億美元。為了搶佔制敵的先機,我已經將此提案送交國會,以保障我國避免日益嚴重的網路威脅。(掌聲)說到底,由於我國男女軍人捍衛自由,我們才得以維繫自由。(掌聲。)

As they come home, we must serve them as well as they’ve served us. That includes giving them the care and the benefits they have earned –- which is why we’ve increased annual VA spending every year I’ve been President. (Applause.)

隨著他們班師回國,我們必須為他們服務,就像他們為我們服務一樣。這包括給予他們應得的照顧和福利--那就是為什麼自我擔任總統以來,我們為退伍軍人的年度開支年年增長。(掌聲)

And it means enlisting our veterans in the work of rebuilding our nation. With the bipartisan support of this Congress, we’re providing new tax credits to companies that hire vets. Michelle and Jill Biden have worked with American businesses to secure a pledge of 135,000 jobs for veterans and their families. And tonight, I’m proposing a Veterans Jobs Corps that will help our communities hire veterans as cops and firefighters, so that America is as strong as those who defend her. (Applause.)

它意味著召喚我們的退役軍人重建我們的國家。由於獲得本屆國會兩黨一致的支援,我們正在為聘用退役軍人的公司提供新的稅務抵免。蜜雪兒(Michelle)和吉爾•拜登(Jill Biden)已與美國企業合作,承諾為退役軍人及其家人提供135,000份工作。今晚,我提議組成一個退伍軍人就業團(Veterans Jobs Corps),幫助我們的社區聘用退役軍人擔任員警和消防員,使美國及其保衛者同樣強盛。(掌聲)

Closing Remarks; Appeal to Unity

Which brings me back to where I began. Those of us who’ve been sent here to serve can learn a thing or two from the service of our troops. When you put on that uniform, it doesn’t matter if you’re black or white; Asian, Latino, Native American; conservative, liberal; rich, poor; gay, straight. When you’re marching into battle, you look out for the person next to you, or the mission fails. When you’re in the thick of the fight, you rise or fall as one unit, serving one nation, leaving no one behind.

這就帶回我一開始的主題。我們被派到此地服務的人可以從我們軍隊的服務學到幾件事。當你穿上軍服時,無論你是黑人或白人;亞裔、拉美裔、美國原住民;保守派、自由派;富人、窮人;還是同性戀,異性戀,都不重要。當你走上戰場,你會照顧身邊的袍澤,否則任務將會失敗。當你處在槍林彈雨之中,你們會全體共進退,效忠同一個國家,不會拋下任何一個人。

One of my proudest possessions is the flag that the SEAL Team took with them on the mission to get bin Laden. On it are each of their names. Some may be Democrats. Some may be Republicans. But that doesn’t matter. Just like it didn’t matter that day in the Situation Room, when I sat next to Bob Gates -- a man who was George Bush’s defense secretary -- and Hillary Clinton -- a woman who ran against me for president.

我保存的最令人自豪的物品之一,是海豹突擊隊(SEAL Team)在執行捉拿本•拉登使命時攜帶的一面旗幟,上面有每一位勇士的姓名。他們中有些可能是民主黨人,有些可能是共和黨人,但這並沒有任何關係,就像那天在情況室(Situation Room)一樣,我坐在鮑勃•蓋茨(Bob Gates)旁邊,他是喬治•布希(George Bush)政府的國防部長;當時還有希拉蕊•克林頓(Hillary Clinton),她曾是我競選總統時的對手。

All that mattered that day was the mission. No one thought about politics. No one thought about themselves. One of the young men involved in the raid later told me that he didn’t deserve credit for the mission. It only succeeded, he said, because every single member of that unit did their job -- the pilot who landed the helicopter that spun out of control; the translator who kept others from entering the compound; the troops who separated the women and children from the fight; the SEALs who charged up the stairs. More than that, the mission only succeeded because every member of that unit trusted each other -- because you can’t charge up those stairs, into darkness and danger, unless you know that there’s somebody behind you, watching your back.

那一天最重要的是完成使命。誰也沒有想到政治。誰也沒有想到自己。參加突襲行動的一位年輕人後來對我說,他沒有資格為這項使命獲得嘉獎。他說,這次使命獲得成功是因為參加行動的每一位成員都盡了自己的一份力量——將盤旋失控的直升機降落在地面上的駕駛員;阻止其他人進入大院的翻譯;將婦女和兒童與作戰區隔離的軍人;沖上樓道的海豹突擊隊。不僅如此,這次使命獲得成功也是因為參加行動的成員相互信任——因為除非你知道有人在你身後做掩護,否則你不可能沖上樓道,在黑夜中履險如夷。

So it is with America. Each time I look at that flag, I’m reminded that our destiny is stitched together like those 50 stars and those 13 stripes. No one built this country on their own. This nation is great because we built it together. This nation is great because we worked as a team. This nation is great because we get each other’s backs. And if we hold fast to that truth, in this moment of trial, there is no challenge too great; no mission too hard. As long as we are joined in common purpose, as long as we maintain our common resolve, our journey moves forward, and our future is hopeful, and the state of our Union will always be strong. Thank you, God bless you, and God bless the United States of America. (Applause.)

這就是美國精神。每當看到這面旗幟,我都體會到,我們的命運如同旗幟上緊密相連的50顆星和13道紅白相間的條紋。建成這個國家並非個人之功。這個國家之所以偉大,是因為我們共襄盛舉;這個國家之所以偉大,是因為我們同心協力;這個國家之所以偉大,是因為我們相互扶持。如果我們堅持這個真理,那麼在這艱難的時刻,就沒有我們不能戰勝的挑戰,就沒有我們不能完成的使命。只要我們為了共同一個目標休戚與共,只要我們堅持我們的共同意志,我們在征途上將一往無前,我們的未來會充滿希望,我們的國情將永遠強盛。謝謝大家。願上帝保佑你們,願上帝保佑美利堅合眾國。(掌聲)



2012-01-29

看日了?

Chris Ciovacco在1月18日,以「Will the U.S. Decouple from Europe?」為題,探討歐債問題會不會影響美國?他是以今年1月13日以前、約二年多的資料,來對照2008年7月前美國次貸風暴來臨時,大家也曾討論過新興市場是否可免於衝擊之問題。這次歐債危機遠比當年雷曼兄弟的更為嚴重,單單希臘的負債(4,460億美元)就比歐盟經濟穩定基金(EFSF)所能出借的剩餘款還多;歐債從3~5月陸續到期,EFSF總共也約只有1兆,遠遠不及歐豬五國的負債。即使有IMF及其他央銀出聲願意援助,看來全世界的經濟,恐怕又是難逃這一劫。

★歐洲先前暫時成立的EFSF是為了挽救愛爾蘭及葡萄牙的債務,將在七月被另一個永久的穩定機制(ESM)所取代,但也只能提供借款約6,600億美元



依照Ciovacco的影片解說,2008年新興市場剛開始似乎逃脫次貸風暴的影響,但最終仍是與之連動,一起被拖下水。隨著近日聯準會宣布維持低利率至2014年,現在多數個別投資人(約48.4%)認為未來半年是牛市,只有18.9%偏向熊市,這種樂觀情緒已在高檔延續一個月了。但Ciovacco比對2008年新興市場之情況,美股近來雖暫時領頭往上漲,似乎也不容樂觀,不只歐洲國家股市已陷入泥沼,其他如澳洲與支那的線型都極為類似。

更令人驚奇的是,我們延伸Ciovacco的觀察至黃金,比對現在的線型,有如2008年的風暴前夕,但黃金價格在當時,並非總是隨美股的下跌而上漲,短時間內起伏很大,有兩次還跟著落底;而在近期,卻大略與 S&P 500 的漲跌同步,會不會像現在許多分析家預測黃金價格將飆漲?只有拭目以待。如今的美元指數線型,亦與2008年的相仿,恐怕也會上衝88~89;美元的人為刻意貶值,可說是2008年風暴的前兆,看起來又將重蹈覆轍。換言之,美國聯準會兩次QE猛印鈔票,促使美元貶值,或許可減少赤字,但並未能有效刺激經濟,反而增加舉債的負擔;同時讓其他國家無法忍受、也效法跟進,展開貨幣大戰,抵銷美元的貶值效應,只差沒有大肆張揚而已。

下禮拜開始,美股 S&P 500 的50日平均線將與200日線黃金交叉,勢必會使更多個別投資人更形樂觀,但能維持多久呢?當多數個別投資人放膽投入,通常不正是警訊?對黃金價格而言,其下彎的50日平均線將與200日線形成死亡交叉,讓人不禁要看是否有足夠的力量,壓抑漲勢;若同時其他國家聯手力抗美元貶值,也不是不可能抑制 S&P 500 與黃金價格的漲勢。歐債已嚴重到無法挽救,爆發只是時間遲早的問題,上次是雷曼兄弟破產引爆經濟危機,這次會是哪個歐洲銀行當導火線?如果真的跌下來,跌幅有可能很深、時間可能持續更久。

這裡見大圖:




2012-01-23

更多的作票證據

文章裏已經提到,「第13任總統副總統及第8屆立法委員選舉投開票所工作人員手冊」與「開票作業-管理員之職務分配」都說明,「不得先整票後、再行唱票或計票」,但卻看到「先整票」的案例。與此行為密切相關的,就是開票工作人先將開票所門窗關閉進行整票,違反上述「工作人員手冊」中,「非開票完畢,開票所門戶不得關閉」的規定。

以下動畫才是正確的開票動作,由網友迷鹿人提供,選務人員須由票匭直接取票、唱票,而不是先行整票。當天你在電視新聞上,看到一個人拿著一堆整理好的選票,一直在唸一號或二號,就是「先整票」的結果,請比對以下2008年的違法影片。




除了網友正反修羅發現,選務人員與監察員對蓋給馬英九有爭議的選票給予寬鬆認定,並一度將蔡英文的選票歸給馬,卻從嚴認定蔡選票的差別待遇;以下是網友inkstone與吳大仁親眼所見,既違反上述開票規定,又在現場公開作票之描述。不要小看這些投開票所的選務人員偏袒馬英九的小動作及計票上微小的誤差,全國有14,806的投開票所,蔡英文雖落後馬英九797,561票,等於平均每個投票所只差54票,每個投開票所只要其中超過27票的認定有問題,就可能足以翻盤。


再來,網友Echo逐一檢視網友Kang所擷取的中選會這次大選的網站開票記錄,便發現了該網路計票中心作票的證據:這個現象出現在21:00到21:06之間的連續三張擷圖(中選會號稱每分鐘更新,實際上是每三分鐘更新一次),在投開票所都是已完成的14,795個之情況下,蔡英文的票竟然可以憑空少掉6,088,958–6,088,278=680票,而馬英九的票卻憑空增加了6,882,220–6881,307=913票。那麼我們進一步要問的是,在整個過程中,蔡的票總共被做掉多少?




此外,網友正義台灣曾以統計學觀點提出質疑(見上圖):全國大選的開票過程,大都以均數平均開出,正常前後的落差不會超出5%,此次怎麼可能開成上列的趨勢圖,真的是見鬼了!網友KM則將中選會2008年的開票資料拿來比較2012年的,也發現明顯的差異:2008年大選的開票走勢圖,開票至1%時整個趨勢就固定了,2012的開票走勢應該也要follow這個趨勢;考慮到這次最終差距只有6%,最多也就頂多是開到10%時,兩條曲線就應該saturate了,絕對不可能開到了1/3才交叉的,說沒有鬼?真是只有鬼才相信。詳細討論情況,請看這裡的留言「34」,網友悪男開頭「電脳作票」的可能性之評論。





相關文章:
目前最合理的作票推論



2012-01-21

2012年會是大蕭條的開始?

2012年一開始,美股連續三周上漲,其主因又是市場冀望聯準會能宣布實施QE3,可是周五柏南克再度表示不會考慮這個選擇;更糟糕的是,美財政部長Geithner向支那官員透漏,「美方對刺激美國經濟沒有其他對策」,之說法傳回美國。下禮拜開始,在投資人沒有期望可言的美股,可能會開始下跌。美國的兩度QE,雖然讓市場資金氾濫,一般大眾及中小企業卻很難借到錢,而拿到錢的大銀行,反而將資金轉而投入炒作原物料價格,尤其是黃金來避險,形成通膨及黃金一路飆升。

柏南克雖然表示不會考慮實施QE3,但也被分析師發現於去年11月底偷偷借錢給歐洲央行,對大多數的歐洲銀行進行紓困;另一方面,歐巴馬卻要求增加舉債上限。這樣看來,目前美國顯然是沒有充分的銀彈可用,既與Geithner的說法相符合,亦可能就是柏南克不進行QE3的主因。面臨未來希臘及歐洲國家債務3~5月陸續到期,又逢資金不足,買希臘國債的投資機構無法接受只能拿回25%的損失,將促使希臘宣布破產。希臘一破產,首當其衝的就是西班牙及義大利,緊接著便是對義大利有龐大投資的法國銀行,連鎖反應之下,還是會衝擊到紐約及倫敦的大銀行。


上圖呈現,美國舉債導致黃金價格飆升。由於歐洲已無資金可以運用,需向外求援,美國也到達舉債上限,自身難保,而支那的民間借貸,正形成大風暴中,這陣子的美股漲勢可能不保,到時急於變現、彌補資金缺口的各國銀行,可能需要大賣各種股票、房地產,甚至是黃金,在資產同時急遽縮水的情況下,又失去美國持續舉債的支持下,黃金價格會不會不如市場預期的飆升,反而跟著下跌,導致2012年成為大蕭條的開始?



2012-01-20

小英加油!!!

是臉書社團「小英加油!!」依照我們為經歷地震的日本人加油及祝福之影片而製,作者是慈恩弟。民進黨在14806投開票所中,有約五千個未派人監票,並未全力防止國民黨作票,讓網友歸納可能有美國、支那及馬英九運用中選會電腦計票系統聯手作票的嫌疑。



《自由時報》駐美特派員曹郁芬更在1月19日的報導,用了「至於在這次大選中被華府、北京和馬政府拿來當做籌碼交易的民進黨」這樣的句子,來形容民進黨於此次選舉中的地位;令人意外地,美國之音1月24日竟然報導,美臺商業協會會長韓儒伯指責歐巴馬政府介入大選,都加深這個推測的可信度。

另有網友Kang為可能的電腦作票,留下中選會線上的開票紀錄;而剛好在此之前,網友正義台灣亦以一張圖質疑不合理的開票過程,可以互相對照:


Kang不斷擷取中選會網路開票過程,記錄自17:48起,至21:59網頁上註記當選者止,所製成的影片,用蔡英文的敗選演說為背景聲音。起先蔡英文領先馬英九,但在18:39時,14806投開票所中有7366所計入統計,雙方均達267萬票,之後馬得票數即超越蔡...。此情況,與引用國民黨開票資料的各新聞台,從開始便由馬領先到底的報導大不相同。

全國大選的開票過程,大都以均數平均開出,正常前後的落差不會超出5%,怎麼可能開成下列的趨勢圖,真的是見鬼了!




2012-01-18

目前最合理的作票推論

進黨敗選,卻出現很多不合理的地方:首先,是投民進黨立委的選票,多過投蔡英文的選票數,如澎湖縣及新竹縣等地,都有此種詭異現象(見中選會網站,我沒看完全部);可是,在中山區470投開票所監票的黃淑純 ,在臉書留言,她看到主任監票員填寫紀錄的時候,發現理應套寫的表,居然是各寫式,寫完後他拿給她一張要回報的紀錄表,居然看到只有52票,她回過頭去拿現場拍照的相片影像比對,應該是523票!這位主任監票員看到黃的動作,才上前告知,是她誤寫並說即刻更正。

雖然徐國勇1月17日晚上在《大話新聞》說,全國監票有1600投票所沒有監票員;可是有替民進黨監票的王老師(見0:20~0:30)卻說,全國有1萬5千個(14805個)投票所,有五千個左右沒派。中山區470投開票所在有人監票就敢這樣搞,那麼在沒人監票的情況下呢?網友正反修羅自行在民進黨未派人的投票所監票,發現選務人員與監察員對蓋給馬英九有爭議的選票給予寬鬆認定,並一度將蔡英文的選票歸給馬,卻從嚴認定蔡選票的差別待遇。

以下是網友Kang不斷擷取中選會網路開票過程,記錄1月14日自17:48起,至21:59網頁上註記當選者止,所製成的影片,用蔡英文的敗選演說為背景聲音。起先蔡英文領先馬英九,但在18:39時,14806投開票所中有7366所計入統計,雙方均達267萬票,之後馬得票數即超越蔡...。此情況,與引用國民黨開票資料的各新聞台,從開始便由馬領先到底的報導大不相同。



其次,有網友正義台灣以統計學觀點提出質疑:全國大選的開票過程,大都以均數平均開出,正常前後的落差不會超出5%,怎麼可能開成上列的趨勢圖,真的是見鬼了!有其他網友認為,當日南部開的快(因為各開票所人數相對少),北部開的慢,所以在中選會的網站一開始是蔡英文領先,之後隨著北部開出漸漸轉變。可是北部也有開票所人數相對少的地方,這種講法,難以說的通。

再者,根據「第13任總統副總統及第8屆立法委員選舉投開票所工作人員手冊」,其中的(六)督導開票作業之進行:2、督導管理員進行檢票、唱票、記票及整票計票作業程序,不得先整票後再行唱票或計票;「開票作業-管理員之職務分配」,也載明:一、 檢票管理員職務:(二)不得先整票後再行唱票或計票。可是卻有人拍攝到員林惠來里660號的政黨票,是「未唱票」違法的行為,在電視新聞也看到總統選票開票時是「先整票再唱票」,甚至在2008年總統大選亦如法泡製。這些不該為而為的作法,讓人質疑作票的可能性。

最後,目前最合理的作票推論(見以下擷圖),莫過於網友夏目宗吉所寫的:林志昇去年12月3日所講的美國CIA傳言「蔡英文輸80萬票」(見3:00~3:32),與今年1月7日1月12日在「未來事件交易所」網頁,事先貼出689數字(留言已被刪除),最令人驚訝。其結論是,這是一場美國跟支那早就談好的選舉遊戲。

對「九二共識」而言,不認為它存在的民進黨,本來一直就是局外人,但《自由時報》駐美特派員曹郁芬在1月19日的報導,卻用了「至於在這次大選中被華府、北京和馬政府拿來當做籌碼交易的民進黨」這樣的句子,來形容民進黨於此次選舉中的地位,與以下的作票推論若符情節。令人意外地,美國之音1月24日竟然報導,美臺商業協會會長韓儒伯指責歐巴馬政府介入大選,更加深這個推測的可信度。




相關文章:
更多的作票證據



2012-01-17

「台灣共識」的實踐

英文在2011年8月23日提出「台灣共識」,以取代虛構的「九二共識」;2012年1月11日延續「台灣共識」的精神,提出「大聯合政府」的方向,充實其內涵。然而,這兩個觀念提出的時間太短,有些人未能感同身受,也沒有參與實踐過,很容易被對手攻擊醜化為選戰語言而動搖其支持態度;有媒體人不認同「民主協商」過程的重要性,也跟著國民黨稱之為「空洞化」,自然會引起「該作者有不少對民進黨先入為主的偏見」之批評。

我認為,「台灣共識」等概念應可透過民進黨的執政縣市及鄉鎮共同來推動,由小而大,積小成多,累積大家對「民主協商」方式的信心。以「在地經濟」的營造為例,不用等中央執政才做,現在就可以在各執政縣市,規劃各具特色的產業,創造就業機會,在推動的過程,以「民主協商」的方式,納入相關人事的考慮。這樣的規劃,既可穩固地方執政,擴大基層的經營, 應還可多層次地兼顧其他方面;各執政縣市若單一財力不足,還可串聯互相扶持。

這次大選,馬英九比上次喪失76萬的選票,只贏約80萬,對其中某些群眾的認知而言,「台灣共識」等概念可能僅止於抽象的政治符號,無法轉換為支持。我認為,若馬(團隊)的執政態度不變,甚至是變本加厲,要再從其中拉走50萬或更多選票,並非難事,但這只是被動的態度;就如網友餅乾所言,有可能邊際效用遞減,要爭取這50萬人,比之前的50萬人要困難許多。這就需要積極的做為,在中央執政之前,正好讓民進黨有充分的時間,來驗證「台灣共識」的可行性。

回顧陳水扁當年,是以四年台北市長高達八成的滿意度為基礎,喊出「綠色執政,品質保證」,贏得兩任總統的任期,其功過的評價由人。但在實踐「台灣共識」的過程中,若短期內可能無明顯的實例可供宣傳,既然對阿扁始終無法切割,不妨反過來從肯定扁的成就開始,提供扁相近的執政成果,也就是說「消費」扁的政績,以對照馬的無能,想辦法讓民眾產生新的想像。扁執政八年,應有不少題材可用;當然各縣市長自己的政績,也是絕佳的素材,可以擴大延伸。

不過,這要看已出現承認「九二共識」及修改「台獨黨綱」聲音的民進黨,對蔡英文主導的「十年政綱」,是否要繼續推動。



2012-01-15

巧婦難為無米之炊!

進黨敗選,蔡英文辭黨主席時提到,基層耕耘不夠紮實,是敗選的原因之一;新頭殼記者林朝億分析這個講法,認為對桃竹苗、中彰投來說,才合理,其他縣市則未必。可是蔡接黨主席時,該黨負債1億4千多萬,2008年的全代會即通過決議,從2010年6月起裁撤大部分三級黨部,新北市、台南市、和高雄市的基層黨部,也於五都選舉後全數裁撤;那時民進黨著眼於,三級黨部裁撤後,1年可省下2,000多萬支出。現在卻歸納是敗選原因之一,可說是「巧婦難為無米之炊!」

這次大選時,民進黨仍然堅持小額募款,「三隻小豬」風潮雖吸引14.3萬小豬回籠,總計也只獲2億多捐款,難以跟財大氣粗的國民黨用黨庫與國庫相抗衡。當初該黨欲以立委選區為基礎,成立類似「區黨部」組織,將來可能要因地制宜才行。



蔡英文:民進黨的轉型和改革不會停止,我的心永遠跟台灣人民站在一起【2012/1/14】

謝謝大家在這裡等,尤其下這麼大的雨,大家還這樣情意相挺,大家等我們來,來跟大家說一聲:謝謝,謝謝大家!

我們在場的朋友、在電視機前面很多國人同胞,還有網路上的網友,大家晚安。

對於今天2012年總統選舉的結果,我們敗選,我要在此向大家致上最深的歉意。

我們承認敗選,也願意接受台灣人民在這次選舉裡面所做的決定。我知道,很多支持者聽我這樣講或許會覺得心碎,可是在這裡,我們還是要恭喜馬總統。希望他在往後四年,要傾聽人民的聲音,要用心執政,要公平的照顧每一個人民,千萬不要辜負人民的期待。

我知道此刻大家的心情。今天,我相信有很多人原本期待勝利,但是,現實不盡如人意。但是,我要跟大家說,我們要堅強,我們一定要堅強,我們一定要比誰都堅強。我們是民進黨,我們過去在面對挫折的時候,我們從來沒有倒下過。以前不會,我知道,這一次也一定不會。

我要請大家回想一下,四年前,我們曾經是這麼的絕望,我們所要挑戰的山頂,曾經被認為是遙不可及。但是,我們咬著牙,整個黨團結在一起,在這四年,一步一步的往前走。這一次,我們已經接近山頂,我們還差一哩路。

我要告訴大家,這樣的結果很遺憾,但是,我們不是一無所有:

我們對小額募款的堅持,樹立了新的政治典範。我們提出的政策主張,在台灣未來的發展中,依然扮演關鍵的力量。

最重要的是,我們所團結的力量,是一股不可以忽視的力量,這一股力量,不能潰散,也不能消失。各位,你們真的不要懷憂喪志。台灣不能沒有反對的聲音,台灣不能沒有制衡的力量。未來這四年,雖然我們沒有辦法以執政者的角色,來實踐我們的理想;但是,這並不代表,在野就沒有力量。

我相信,只要大家繼續站在我們身後,給我們支持,給我們鞭策,我們一定還有未來!下一次,我們一定可以走完最後一哩路!

接下來,我要以民主進步黨主席的身分,感謝大家對民主進步黨立委提名人的支持,讓民進黨的國會席次成長。他們未來,會在立法院扮演人民的代言人,會把人民的困難放在心上,努力提升公共政策的品質,讓每一個國民都得到最好的照顧。

民進黨的轉型跟改革,不會停止。我們堅持和弱勢人民站在一起,我們堅持政策理性,我們堅持以小額募款擺脫對財團的依賴。我們會一直做下去,總有一天,我們會贏得多數人民的信任。

雖然我們很努力,但是,我們要完成最後的理想,這條路比我們想像得更漫長,我們還可以做得更好。面對今天的結果,民進黨會認真的做一個檢討,會把它當作一個警惕。

敗選的責任,由我一肩扛起來。我剛剛已經宣布,辭去民主進步黨的黨主席。我相信,下一任的黨主席,一定會堅持,繼續堅持民進黨的改革轉型,帶領大家繼續走下去。

最後,蔡英文也要以個人的身分,感謝大家一路相伴。這四年,是很美好的旅程,我們一起並肩作戰,在我的心中,你們不只是投票給我的人,你們是我最好的夥伴。

今天晚上,我相信大家心裡都很難過;如果你心裡真的很難過,就讓它發洩出來。你可以哭泣,但不要洩氣。你可以悲傷,但是不要放棄。因為明天起來,我們要像過去四年一樣的勇敢,心裡充滿著希望。因為,我們必須勇敢地扛起這個國家的責任,我們必須樂觀地,繼續為台灣這塊土地打拼。

無論我們在哪個位置上,這個國家,都需要我們繼續愛她、呵護她。

各位親愛的台灣人民,有一天,我們會再回來,我們不會放棄。在2012年的這一天,支持民進黨,支持蔡英文,我相信是一件驕傲的事。我們抬起頭,堅強勇敢的走下去。謝謝大家,我的心會永遠跟台灣人民站在一起。



2012-01-14

《今日新聞》& Hinet 作票準備好了?

友擷圖《今日新聞》昨晚的網頁,馬英九以459萬票勝過蔡英文的392萬票,並在馬的票數欄上,標示「當選」字樣,請按這裡,見完整大圖;兩人差距,剛好是超過50萬票,正如藍營的估票。經《自由時報》記者的查證,其說法是,與中選會測試連線後,未將數據歸零;但Hinet也是顯示同樣票數,網頁已進不去,網友有擷取大圖,也有各縣市細部票數

中選會這次屢屢凸槌,有如馬英九的助選工具,其應持的「中立」已受質疑,莫非這就是馬作票的最後結果?






2012-01-13

阿輝伯站台力挺蔡英文:「把台灣交給你們了!」

登輝演講全文

各位現場以及全國的,親愛的鄉親,大家晚安、大家好! 這段日子以來,我一直想要出來甲大家逗陣,為咱台灣的前途打拼,但是身體實在不好勢 。不過,看到咱的國家退步這勒體,就算我在厝內休睏,我的心,實在講,無法度休睏。 今仔日,不管他們安怎給我苦勸,講我身體凍未條,但是我一定要站出來,跟大家站作夥 ,為台灣拼最後一場啦。 因為這一場不只是蔡英文要贏,是咱台灣一定要贏啦。對不對阿。

我已經九十歲,乎日本人統治過,乎國民政府管過,我看到在咱台灣這塊土地的人,不管是原住民、早期的移民、還有二次大戰後來台灣的移民,攏吃過甚多甘苦,因為大家共同 在這塊土地忍耐打拼,經濟才有一點仔基礎,才有機會選家己的總統,選咱家己的生活, 咱希望代代子孫,攏會凍永遠在這塊土地發展落去,作一個幸福的台灣人,嘛做一個有希望的台灣人。

做生意的人希望生意興旺,農民希望好收成,農產品有銷路,做工的人希望有賺錢,沒失 業,大學生希望不免借錢讀冊,畢業找有頭路,少年人敢娶某生子,買一間厝建立家庭,老大人希望年老有人照顧。 咱希望有一個公正的司法制度,有一個公平的經濟制度,有一個台灣文明的教育制度;咱更加希望萬一咱受著災難的時,政府會凍甲咱保護。 咱嘛希望建立一個民主、自由、繁榮,有人權、有尊嚴的國家,不免煩惱乎人統一,乎別人管,會凍大聲講我是台灣人。

不過在現在的政府領導之下,咱的希望沒可能實現。現在的政府沒希望阿,對不對阿。但是咱相信,咱有能力改變,因為台灣是民主的國家,咱的命運就掌握在咱手頭的選票,咱用咱的選票選咱家己的希望,選咱幸福的未來。咱相信家己,咱嘛相信蔡英文,會凍帶領咱的國家,實現咱的希望。我已經年歲多啊,身體啊無外好,什麼時存會離開我心愛的台灣不知,會凍擱做的實在有限,未來就要靠你們大家打拼阿。 大家為台灣繼續拼,好不好阿。

票數非常接近,拜託大家一定要去投票,全力拉票、催票、固票,支持1號,支持蔡英文博士,乎蔡英文成為台灣第一女總統,創造台灣民主新的典範。好不好阿。 明阿載,選蔡英文,選咱的希望,選咱的幸福;相信咱家己,相信蔡英文;乎家己一個的機會,乎台灣一個機會。我李登輝這世人,最後一次加大家拜託。台灣,交給大家囉。

祝,大家平安。台灣平安。再見。








國民黨贏50萬票的保證

民黨與統媒從選戰開打以來,就在強調「穩定領先」的優勢,這個階段在防止「散」英九民調崩盤的發生,其破綻是關掉「遠見」民調,使「假民調」得以橫行;今年1月3日,開始放出贏50萬票的估算,則是要操作「棄宋保馬」,當然配套前題是,開始取締不利「散」的「地下賭盤」與關掉「未來事件交易所」;然而被名嘴吐槽「散」的選情不妙,13日才由羅智強出面否認估算贏50萬票,這可由該黨逼傅崑萁表態及這兩天親民黨的支持者收到「宋楚瑜將在選前之夜宣布退選」的簡訊來印證。

金溥聰因露餡而否認這種膨風自爽的推估,顯然不足以搶攻宋楚瑜的選票,只能退守固票;但在全國各地立委與總統選票一起買的樁腳,則陸續被逮到:計有新北市李乾龍、選原住民立委簡東明和孔文吉、高雄有鍾紹和與江玲君,以及嘉義縣翁重鈞的等。除了買票受挫之外,在投票所作票,也是國民黨的傳統手段,為贏而鋌而走險,也不會令人意外。而目前最受關注的則在於,大家都在等著看國民黨的「終極奧步」,不過有趣的是,在「網路民調」上,反而呈現周美青獨占鰲頭,各位也不妨猜猜看。

誰是2012年大選最可能的槍擊目標?






三隻小豬傳奇









The man who screwed an entire country







2012-01-11

「蔡英文的大聯合政府」VS「全面獨裁的金馬體制」

「散」英九四年來全面執政、「金馬獨裁體制」之下,施政只有利於財團及特定的支持者,達到「民不聊生、民主倒退」之境,才二年四個月又二十天,便創下百項「台灣最爛」的紀錄;這時競選連任,又拿包藏「統一」的「九二共識」和ECFA當政績,聯手財團及中共來恐嚇騙票,實際上,卻樣樣不如堅持台灣主權的陳水扁執政;而其一邊用「34年棉被、補游泳褲及布鞋」來造神洗腦、標榜自已的「清廉」,另一邊卻是毫不眨眼地、在兩天內燒掉2.3億製造「夢想家」及一年就浪費16億公帑,進行置入性行銷廣告,假公濟私為其連任宣傳。


「散」英九上台三年,替國民黨賺進股利69.2億,卻讓勞退基金一年就大虧670億,證明他與該黨根本不會替台灣拚經濟。其所提名舉薦的國民黨徒眾,更是犯下超過160樁貪污及賄選的「世界紀錄」;其所掌握的四分之三國會多數,與「散」的「政見跳票紀錄」一樣,亦不遑多讓,既無法福國利民,卻屢屢立下下列禍國殃民的立法紀錄(如有掛漏及誤植之處,歡迎補充與指正)。若「散」得以連任,會繼續在「金馬獨裁特務體制」裡,擴大社會階級對立,大多數人只有更悽慘,不會變好。


你這四年來,生活有過得比四年前好嗎?蔡英文提供另一種選擇,以「台灣共識」為核心的「大聯合政府」合諧社會,可使大家唾棄內鬥而同心協力,團結一起面對台灣當前的困境,以人人都可保有穩定的工作為目標,並可預見自己的未來,而營造此一共識的基礎,便是從現在開始,集中「總統、立委及政黨」選票來支持她過半,淘汰現在「假清廉、無能又傲慢」的政府。

馬英九執政四年,你的生活有比過去好嗎?


選區國民黨立委掠奪人
民土地
破壞
環境
網路
戒嚴
18%
復活
提案開放
美毒牛肉
拖延軍購
害死飛官
基隆市謝國樑
台北市 (第1選區)丁守中
台北市 (第2選區)周守訓
台北市 (第3選區)羅淑蕾
台北市 (第4選區)蔡正元
台北市 (第5選區)林郁方
台北市 (第6選區)蔣乃辛
台北市 (第7選區)費鴻泰
台北市 (第8選區)賴士葆
台北市 (第8選區)李 敖(親)
新北市 (第1選區)吳育昇
新北市 (第2選區)趙良燕(親)
新北市 (第4選區)李鴻鈞
新北市 (第5選區)黃志雄
新北市 (第6選區)林鴻池
新北市 (第8選區)張慶忠
新北市 (第9選區)林德福
新北市 (第9選區)雷 倩
新北市 (第10選區)盧嘉辰
新北市 (第11選區)羅明才
新北市 (第12選區)李慶華
桃園縣 (第1選區)陳根德
桃園縣 (第3選區)劉文雄(親)
桃園縣 (第4選區)楊麗環
桃園縣 (第6選區)孫大千
新竹市呂學樟
南投縣 (第1選區)馬文君
南投縣 (第2選區)林明溱
台中市 (第2選區)顏清標(無)
台中市 (第3選區)楊瓊瓔
台中市 (第4選區)蔡錦隆
台中市 (第5選區)盧秀燕
台中市 (第6選區)黃義交
台中市 (第7選區)鄭麗文
嘉義縣 (第1選區)翁重鈞
嘉義市江義雄
彰化縣 (第2選區)林滄敏
彰化縣 (第3選區)鄭汝芬
雲林縣 (第1選區)張嘉郡
雲林縣 (第2選區)許舒博
苗栗縣 (第2選區)徐耀昌
高雄市 (第2選區)林益世
高雄市 (第3選區)黃昭順
高雄市 (第5選區)羅世雄
高雄市 (第6選區)侯彩鳳
高雄市 (第7選區)邱 毅
高雄市 (第8選區)江玲君
臺南市 (第2選區)黃偉哲(民)
屏東縣 (第2選區)王進士
澎湖縣林炳坤(無)
連江縣曹爾忠
金門縣吳成典(新)
宜蘭縣林建榮
花蓮縣王廷升
(山地原住民)孔文吉
(山地原住民)簡東明
(山地原住民)高金素梅(無)
(平地原住民)廖國棟
不分區王金平
不分區吳清池
不分區洪秀柱
不分區紀國棟
不分區徐少萍
不分區陳淑慧
不分區潘維剛
不分區陳淑慧
不參選朱鳳芝
不參選李明星
不參選李復興
不參選帥化民
不參選郭素春
不參選陳 杰
不參選楊仁褔
不參選李嘉進
不參選葉芳雄
不參選廖婉汝
不參選趙麗雲
不參選劉盛良
不參選鄭金玲
不參選蔣孝嚴
不參選李永萍
不參選李嘉進
不參選白添枝
不參選洪玉欽
不參選謝文政
不參選陳秀卿
不參選曾永權
不參選張顯耀
不參選劉銓忠
不參選鐘紹和
不參選鍾榮吉
不參選張碩文
不參選高思博
不參選林正峰
不參選李全教
不參選朱曉俊
不參選蔡家福
不參選黃德福
不參選吳光訓
不參選吳松柏
不參選曾華德
不參選江連福
不參選王昱婷
不參選張麗善
不參選張昌財
不參選李顯榮
不參選蔡豪
不參選李和順
不參選柯俊雄
不參選周錫瑋
不參選蘇起
不參選顧崇廉
不參選曹壽民
不參選陳志彬
不參選林南生
不參選李慶安
不參選沈智慧(親)
不參選柯淑敏(親)
不參選王家貞(親)
不參選陳朝容(親)
不參選蔡勝佳(親)
不參選楊宗哲(無)
台中市副市長徐中雄
台北市議員秦慧珠
金管會副主委李紀珠
海基會董事長江丙坤
經建會主委劉憶如
僑委會委員長吳英毅
新竹縣副縣長章仁香
花蓮縣長傅崑萁
台東縣長黃健庭
彰化縣長卓伯源
新竹縣長邱鏡淳
桃園縣長吳志揚
總統秘書長伍錦霖
行政院長吳敦義
逃亡何智輝
已逝陳秀卿
已逝林惠官



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