2012-01-23

更多的作票證據

文章裏已經提到,「第13任總統副總統及第8屆立法委員選舉投開票所工作人員手冊」與「開票作業-管理員之職務分配」都說明,「不得先整票後、再行唱票或計票」,但卻看到「先整票」的案例。與此行為密切相關的,就是開票工作人先將開票所門窗關閉進行整票,違反上述「工作人員手冊」中,「非開票完畢,開票所門戶不得關閉」的規定。

以下動畫才是正確的開票動作,由網友迷鹿人提供,選務人員須由票匭直接取票、唱票,而不是先行整票。當天你在電視新聞上,看到一個人拿著一堆整理好的選票,一直在唸一號或二號,就是「先整票」的結果,請比對以下2008年的違法影片。




除了網友正反修羅發現,選務人員與監察員對蓋給馬英九有爭議的選票給予寬鬆認定,並一度將蔡英文的選票歸給馬,卻從嚴認定蔡選票的差別待遇;以下是網友inkstone與吳大仁親眼所見,既違反上述開票規定,又在現場公開作票之描述。不要小看這些投開票所的選務人員偏袒馬英九的小動作及計票上微小的誤差,全國有14,806的投開票所,蔡英文雖落後馬英九797,561票,等於平均每個投票所只差54票,每個投開票所只要其中超過27票的認定有問題,就可能足以翻盤。


再來,網友Echo逐一檢視網友Kang所擷取的中選會這次大選的網站開票記錄,便發現了該網路計票中心作票的證據:這個現象出現在21:00到21:06之間的連續三張擷圖(中選會號稱每分鐘更新,實際上是每三分鐘更新一次),在投開票所都是已完成的14,795個之情況下,蔡英文的票竟然可以憑空少掉6,088,958–6,088,278=680票,而馬英九的票卻憑空增加了6,882,220–6881,307=913票。那麼我們進一步要問的是,在整個過程中,蔡的票總共被做掉多少?




此外,網友正義台灣曾以統計學觀點提出質疑(見上圖):全國大選的開票過程,大都以均數平均開出,正常前後的落差不會超出5%,此次怎麼可能開成上列的趨勢圖,真的是見鬼了!網友KM則將中選會2008年的開票資料拿來比較2012年的,也發現明顯的差異:2008年大選的開票走勢圖,開票至1%時整個趨勢就固定了,2012的開票走勢應該也要follow這個趨勢;考慮到這次最終差距只有6%,最多也就頂多是開到10%時,兩條曲線就應該saturate了,絕對不可能開到了1/3才交叉的,說沒有鬼?真是只有鬼才相信。詳細討論情況,請看這裡的留言「34」,網友悪男開頭「電脳作票」的可能性之評論。





相關文章:
目前最合理的作票推論



2 則留言:

  1. Why KMT won this election? KMT were very smart in this election and can almost guarantee that they will win no matter how attractive Miss Tsai Ying-Wen is.
    Please read carefully because I can only explain it in English.
    Reason I;有沒有幽靈選票?
    有Yes, there are many oversea Chinese who got ROC passport and can register as voters only to vote for this Presidential election but not for 立法委員or 政党 voting, please refer to the new總統副總統選舉罷免法. This explains why Mr. Ma Ying-Jeu got 51% and KMT 立法委員only got 44% of total votes. The different of 7% were from those oversea幽靈選票. In other words, KMT understood that they could only beat 打敗Tsai Ying-Wen by setting up a rule that so favor to KMT but DPP would忽視 or cannot stop to pass this new總統副總統選舉罷免法due to majority
    of 立法委員 were controlled by KMT. (Part I)

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  2. Part II
    Reason II.
    KMT cleverly selected the date of election at January 14 which most of young student voters are preparing for school exams and do not want to go back to their home town where they are
    registered as voting candidates. Similar situations for government or private employees, they would not go back to their registered place just to vote and have to come back to work for another week before the Lunar New Year holidays start. This explains why there is low rate of voting in total (National average 74%, higher rate in northern Taiwan & lower rate in the southern areas). This explains KMT won a lot of different in the northern Taiwan while DPP won less than expected in the southern
    areas.

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